语言:简体中文
Korona Kielce v Motor Lublin
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Korona Kielce (主队)
预测 51.68%1.94公平赔率
EV -5.43%
优势 -2.97%
Kelly -6.54%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.83
博彩公司预测分布
50.57%51.67%51.69%53.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.761.761.8359.52%56.69%56.82%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
Motor Lublin (客队)
预测 23.00%4.35公平赔率
EV +0.760%
优势 +0.174%
Kelly +0.225%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 4.38
博彩公司预测分布
21.82%23.06%23.02%24.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.984.004.3827.78%25.14%25.00%22.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.32%3.95公平赔率
EV -2.53%
优势 -0.657%
Kelly -0.888%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.85
博彩公司预测分布
24.25%25.26%25.29%26.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.603.603.8529.41%27.74%27.78%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Korona Kielce (主队)：51.68%；Motor Lublin (客队)：23.00%；平局：25.32%。 对于“Motor Lublin (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.35。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.38，对应+0.760%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.93%EV +0.760%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -3.80%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.48%EV -7.85%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.53%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.10%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.68%EV -3.84%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.22%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.80%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 12:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 12:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.05%EV -7.50%E -4.19%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -10.08%E -5.79%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 12:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.13%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -10.13%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.53%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.53%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.01%E -4.50%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.99%EV -13.18%E -7.85%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.69%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-22 12:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.12%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.09%EV -11.89%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.79%EV -13.16%E -3.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-22 12:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 12:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -3.80%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.89%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -10.13%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -17.18%E -4.77%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-22 12:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.01% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |