Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Korona Kielce v Motor Lublin

Inizio: 2026-08-22 12:45 UTC

Finale: Korona Kielce 1–1 Motor Lublin

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Korona Kielce (Casa)

Previsione 51.68%1.94quota equa
EV -5.43%
Vantaggio -2.97%
Kelly -6.54%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.57%51.67%51.69%53.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.761.761.8359.52%56.69%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Motor Lublin (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.00%4.35quota equa
EV +0.760%
Vantaggio +0.174%
Kelly +0.225%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.82%23.06%23.02%24.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.984.004.3827.78%25.14%25.00%22.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.32%3.95quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -0.657%
Kelly -0.888%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.25%25.26%25.29%26.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.603.603.8529.41%27.74%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Korona Kielce (Casa): 51.68%; Motor Lublin (Trasferta): 23.00%; Pareggio: 25.32%. Per Motor Lublin (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.35. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.38, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.760%.

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.93%EV +0.760%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -3.80%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.48%EV -7.85%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 12:40
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.53%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 11:54
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 12:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:45
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.10%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.68%EV -3.84%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.22%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 12:35
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.80%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 12:39
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 12:14
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 11:45
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:54
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:54
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:55
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:49
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 12:29
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.05%EV -7.50%E -4.19%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 12:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 12:40
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -10.08%E -5.79%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 11:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 12:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.13%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:55
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:49
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -10.13%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.53%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.53%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.01%E -4.50%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.99%EV -13.18%E -7.85%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.69%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-22 12:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.12%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.09%EV -11.89%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.79%EV -13.16%E -3.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-22 12:19
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:44
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 11:44
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-22 12:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -3.80%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 12:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.89%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -10.13%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 11:49
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 11:59
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -17.18%E -4.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-22 12:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 51.01%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-08-22 12:40
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-08-22 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.0%2026-08-22 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.0%2026-08-22 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-08-22 12:40
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%2.4%2026-08-22 12:40