StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jagiellonia Białystok v Pogoń Szczecin

Matchstart: 2026-05-09 15:32 UTC

Slutresultat: Jagiellonia Białystok 3–2 Pogoń Szczecin

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jagiellonia Białystok (Hemma)

Prognos 54.21%1.84rättvist odds
EV -2.97%
Fördel -1.66%
Kelly -3.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.79

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.35%54.29%54.13%57.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.581.711.711.7963.29%58.54%58.48%55.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Pogoń Szczecin (Borta)

Prognos 22.09%4.53rättvist odds
EV +0.497%
Fördel +0.109%
Kelly +0.140%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.76%22.09%22.18%23.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.084.004.5526.67%24.50%25.00%21.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.71%4.22rättvist odds
EV +1.94%
Fördel +0.452%
Kelly +0.589%
Tillväxt +0.011%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.33%23.62%23.69%24.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.833.854.3029.41%26.09%25.97%23.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jagiellonia Białystok (Hemma): 54.21%; Pogoń Szczecin (Borta): 22.09%; Oavgjort: 23.71%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.22. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.30, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.94%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV +1.94%E +0.452%K +0.589%G +0.011%9.0%2026-05-09 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.428%E -0.102%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.91%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.12%EV +0.497%E +0.109%K +0.140%G +0.001%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:29
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 15:29
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 15:29
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 15:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -10.02%E -6.04%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -6.36%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 15:30
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.98%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.18%EV -6.83%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -7.07%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:28
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:29
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:29
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:28
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.34%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:28
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.34%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:30
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:29
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:16
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:29
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.55%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 15:30
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:27
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 15:29
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.02%E -6.04%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:29
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.29%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 15:29
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.67%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 15:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -12.19%E -7.52%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 15:29
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:29
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 15:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.27%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.47%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 15:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -13.47%E -3.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-09 15:29
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 15:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.23%EV -14.36%E -9.09%K -24.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.97%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-09 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -12.19%E -7.52%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.39%E -5.70%K -8.08%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-09 15:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-09 15:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-05-09 15:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-05-09 15:30
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%2.7%2026-05-09 15:29
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%3.6%2026-05-09 15:30