La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Jagiellonia Białystok v Pogoń Szczecin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Predicción 54.21%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.35%54.29%54.13%57.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.711.711.7963.29%58.54%58.48%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pogoń Szczecin (Visitante)
Predicción 22.09%4.53momio equitativo
EV +0.497%
Ventaja +0.109%
Kelly +0.140%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.76%22.09%22.18%23.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.084.004.5526.67%24.50%25.00%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.71%4.22momio equitativo
EV +1.94%
Ventaja +0.452%
Kelly +0.589%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.33%23.62%23.69%24.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.833.854.3029.41%26.09%25.97%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV +1.94%E +0.452%K +0.589%G +0.011% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.428%E -0.102%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.91%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.12%EV +0.497%E +0.109%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 15:28 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -10.02%E -6.04%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -6.36%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.98%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.18%EV -6.83%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -7.07%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 15:28 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 15:28 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.34%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 15:28 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.34%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 15:16 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.55%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 15:27 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.02%E -6.04%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.29%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.67%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 15:26 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -12.19%E -7.52%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.27%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.47%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -13.47%E -3.69%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.23%EV -14.36%E -9.09%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.97%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -12.19%E -7.52%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.39%E -5.70%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |