L’École des cotesJagiellonia Białystok v Pogoń Szczecin
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Prévision 54.21%1.84cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.35%54.29%54.13%57.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.711.711.7963.29%58.54%58.48%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.09%4.53cote équitable
EV +0.497%
Avantage +0.109%
Kelly +0.140%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.76%22.09%22.18%23.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.084.004.5526.67%24.50%25.00%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.71%4.22cote équitable
EV +1.94%
Avantage +0.452%
Kelly +0.589%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.33%23.62%23.69%24.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.833.854.3029.41%26.09%25.97%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV +1.94%E +0.452%K +0.589%G +0.011% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.428%E -0.102%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.91%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.12%EV +0.497%E +0.109%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 15:28 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -10.02%E -6.04%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -6.36%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.98%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.18%EV -6.83%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -7.07%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 15:28 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 15:28 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.34%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 15:28 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.34%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 15:16 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.55%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 15:27 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.02%E -6.04%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.29%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.67%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 15:26 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -12.19%E -7.52%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.27%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.47%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -13.47%E -3.69%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.23%EV -14.36%E -9.09%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.97%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -12.19%E -7.52%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.39%E -5.70%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75% | 2.7% | 2026-05-09 15:29 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 15:30 |