Школа коэффициентов

Jagiellonia Białystok v Pogoń Szczecin

Начало: 2026-05-09 15:32 UTC

Итог: Jagiellonia Białystok 3–2 Pogoń Szczecin

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Хозяева)

Прогноз 54.21%1.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.97%
Преимущество -1.66%
Kelly -3.76%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.79

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.35%54.29%54.13%57.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.581.711.711.7963.29%58.54%58.48%55.87%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Pogoń Szczecin (Гости)

Прогноз 22.09%4.53справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.497%
Преимущество +0.109%
Kelly +0.140%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.55

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.76%22.09%22.18%23.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.084.004.5526.67%24.50%25.00%21.98%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 23.71%4.22справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.94%
Преимущество +0.452%
Kelly +0.589%
Рост +0.011%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.33%23.62%23.69%24.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.833.854.3029.41%26.09%25.97%23.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV +1.94%E +0.452%K +0.589%G +0.011%9.0%2026-05-09 15:30
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.428%E -0.102%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.91%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.12%EV +0.497%E +0.109%K +0.140%G +0.001%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:29
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 15:29
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 15:29
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 15:28
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -10.02%E -6.04%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -6.36%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 15:30
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.98%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.18%EV -6.83%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:29
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -7.07%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:28
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:29
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:30
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:29
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:28
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.34%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:28
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.34%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:29
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:29
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:30
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:29
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:16
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:29
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 53.55%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 15:30
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:27
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 15:29
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.02%E -6.04%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:29
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 54.29%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 15:29
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 15:30
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 15:29
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.67%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 15:26
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -12.19%E -7.52%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 15:29
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:29
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:29
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 15:29
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.27%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.47%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 15:29
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -13.47%E -3.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-09 15:29
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 15:29
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.23%EV -14.36%E -9.09%K -24.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.97%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-09 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -12.19%E -7.52%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.39%E -5.70%K -8.08%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-09 15:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-09 15:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-05-09 15:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-05-09 15:30
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%2.7%2026-05-09 15:29
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%3.6%2026-05-09 15:30