Szkoła Kursów

Jagiellonia Białystok v Pogoń Szczecin

Początek: 2026-05-09 15:32 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Jagiellonia Białystok 3–2 Pogoń Szczecin

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 54.21%1.84kurs godziwy
EV -2.97%
Przewaga -1.66%
Kelly -3.76%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.79

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.35%54.29%54.13%57.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.581.711.711.7963.29%58.54%58.48%55.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Pogoń Szczecin (Goście)

Prognoza 22.09%4.53kurs godziwy
EV +0.497%
Przewaga +0.109%
Kelly +0.140%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.76%22.09%22.18%23.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.084.004.5526.67%24.50%25.00%21.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.71%4.22kurs godziwy
EV +1.94%
Przewaga +0.452%
Kelly +0.589%
Wzrost +0.011%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.33%23.62%23.69%24.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.403.833.854.3029.41%26.09%25.97%23.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV +1.94%E +0.452%K +0.589%G +0.011%9.0%2026-05-09 15:30
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.428%E -0.102%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.91%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.12%EV +0.497%E +0.109%K +0.140%G +0.001%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 15:29
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 15:29
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 15:29
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.17%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 15:28
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -10.02%E -6.04%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -6.36%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 15:30
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.98%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.18%EV -6.83%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:29
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -7.07%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:28
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:29
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:30
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 15:29
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:28
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.34%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:28
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.34%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:29
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -7.54%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:29
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -0.608%E -0.135%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:30
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:29
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:16
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:29
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -3.92%E -0.901%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 53.55%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -8.73%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 15:30
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.03%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 15:27
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 15:29
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.02%E -6.04%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -4.36%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:29
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 54.29%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -9.91%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 15:29
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 15:30
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 15:29
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.67%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 15:26
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -12.19%E -7.52%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.76%E -3.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -11.10%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 15:29
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:29
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:29
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 15:29
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.46%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 15:29
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.27%EV -13.27%E -8.29%K -22.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.47%EV -12.28%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 15:29
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -8.94%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -13.47%E -3.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-09 15:29
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.48%E -5.67%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 15:29
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.23%EV -14.36%E -9.09%K -24.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.97%EV -13.86%E -3.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%EV -14.65%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-09 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -12.19%E -7.52%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -19.39%E -5.70%K -8.08%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-09 15:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-09 15:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-09 15:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-05-09 15:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-05-09 15:30
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.75%2.7%2026-05-09 15:29
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%3.6%2026-05-09 15:30