The School of Odds

Jagiellonia Białystok v Korona Kielce

2026-07-25 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prediction 47.92%2.09fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -4.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.35%47.87%47.82%48.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.781.911.922.0056%52%52%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Korona Kielce (Visit)

Prediction 25.24%3.96fair odd
EV -4.86%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%25.26%25.32%26.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.583.603.7732%28%28%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.84%3.73fair odd
EV -6.05%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.65%26.87%26.86%28.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.403.5032%30%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -5.36%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 13:25
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 47.75%EV -5.12%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.08%EV -4.86%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.17%EV -6.59%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 14:25
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.53%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.39%EV -7.38%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.08%EV -7.67%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 16:50
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.62%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.62%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 14:15
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.62%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 14:15
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 13:25
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.67%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 16:45
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.89%E -2.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 18:53
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 16:20
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 16:19
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.62%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 13:28
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.62%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 14:35
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 13:25
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 13:35
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -9.15%E -2.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 13:35
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 46.35%EV -11.35%E -6.13%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -16.72%E -5.07%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -16.79%E -5.42%K -8.00%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-18 13:30
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.30%E -6.72%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -14.19%E -4.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-18 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.92%EV -12.78%E -7.02%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -16.72%E -5.07%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-18 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.08%EV -14.22%E -7.94%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.69%EV -15.46%E -4.61%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.24%EV -11.96%E -3.65%K -5.25%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-18 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 47.33%EV -14.70%E -8.26%K -18.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.75%EV -20.50%E -6.51%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.92%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-18 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%13.9%2026-07-18 16:20