Language:English
Jagiellonia Białystok v Korona Kielce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Prediction 45.58%2.19fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.713%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.63%45.67%45.63%48.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.981.952.1655.25%50.54%51.28%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Korona Kielce (Visit)
Prediction 26.68%3.75fair odd
EV +4.03%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.83%26.56%26.62%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.543.503.9031.25%28.22%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.74%3.60fair odd
EV -0.131%
Edge -0.036%
Kelly -0.050%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.39%27.77%27.74%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.303.6032.26%30.22%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 45.58%; Korona Kielce (Visit): 26.68%; Draw: 27.74%. For Korona Kielce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 12:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.96%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.60%EV +2.97%E +0.768%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -4.01%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -12.02%E -6.23%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV +2.70%E +0.701%K +0.947%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -14.30%E -7.61%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV +2.70%E +0.701%K +0.947%G +0.026% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -14.76%E -7.89%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +1.37%E +0.359%K +0.488%G +0.007% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -14.76%E -7.89%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +1.37%E +0.359%K +0.488%G +0.007% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -15.67%E -8.47%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.58%EV -3.82%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.71%EV -0.235%E -0.063%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.30%E -0.352%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 12:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -17.49%E -9.67%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -2.64%E -0.722%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.98%EV -9.29%E -4.67%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -4.27%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -1.54%E -0.713%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -1.54%E -0.713%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.73%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -10.67%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 12:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 12:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.63%EV -8.38%E -4.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -0.131%E -0.036%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.00%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.10%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.49%EV -10.67%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -14.00%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -13.31%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -13.31%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -14.64%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -14.64%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.99% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |