Школа коэффициентов

Jagiellonia Białystok v Korona Kielce

Начало: 2026-07-25 12:45 UTC

Итог: Jagiellonia Białystok 1–0 Korona Kielce

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Хозяева)

Прогноз 45.58%2.19справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.54%
Преимущество -0.713%
Kelly -1.33%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.16

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.63%45.67%45.63%48.79%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.811.981.952.1655.25%50.54%51.28%46.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Korona Kielce (Гости)

Прогноз 26.68%3.75справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.03%
Преимущество +1.03%
Kelly +1.39%
Рост +0.056%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.83%26.56%26.62%27.94%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.543.503.9031.25%28.22%28.57%25.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.74%3.60справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.131%
Преимущество -0.036%
Kelly -0.050%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.39%27.77%27.74%29.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.313.303.6032.26%30.22%30.30%27.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 12:40
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 12:40
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 12:40
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 12:40
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 12:40
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 12:40
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 12:39
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.96%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.60%EV +2.97%E +0.768%K +1.04%G +0.031%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -4.01%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 12:35
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -12.02%E -6.23%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV +2.70%E +0.701%K +0.947%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 12:20
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -14.30%E -7.61%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV +2.70%E +0.701%K +0.947%G +0.026%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -14.76%E -7.89%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +1.37%E +0.359%K +0.488%G +0.007%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -14.76%E -7.89%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +1.37%E +0.359%K +0.488%G +0.007%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 12:40
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -15.67%E -8.47%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 12:40
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.58%EV -3.82%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.71%EV -0.235%E -0.063%K -0.086%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 12:35
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.30%E -0.352%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 12:29
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -17.49%E -9.67%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -2.64%E -0.722%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 12:30
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 45.98%EV -9.29%E -4.67%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 12:30
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -4.27%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 12:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 12:35
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 12:35
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -1.54%E -0.713%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 12:40
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -1.54%E -0.713%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 12:40
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 12:35
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.73%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -10.67%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 12:40
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 12:20
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 12:40
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 12:30
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 12:38
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 12:40
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.63%EV -8.38%E -4.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 12:35
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -0.131%E -0.036%K -0.050%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 12:35
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 12:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 12:20
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 12:20
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.00%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 12:35
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.10%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.49%EV -10.67%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 12:35
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 12:35
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 12:30
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 12:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 12:35
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 12:40
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 12:35
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -14.00%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 12:40
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -13.31%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 12:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -13.31%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 12:40
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -14.64%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 12:35
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -14.64%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 12:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-07-25 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-07-25 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-07-25 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-07-25 12:40
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-07-25 12:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-07-25 12:30