A Escola das Odds

Jagiellonia Białystok v Korona Kielce

Início: 2026-07-25 12:45 UTC

Final: Jagiellonia Białystok 1–0 Korona Kielce

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Previsão 45.58%2.19odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.713%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.63%45.67%45.63%48.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.811.981.952.1655.25%50.54%51.28%46.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Korona Kielce (Visitante)

Previsão 26.68%3.75odd justa
EV +4.03%
Vantagem +1.03%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescimento +0.056%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.83%26.56%26.62%27.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.543.503.9031.25%28.22%28.57%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.74%3.60odd justa
EV -0.131%
Vantagem -0.036%
Kelly -0.050%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.39%27.77%27.74%29.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.313.303.6032.26%30.22%30.30%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 12:40
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 12:40
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 12:40
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 12:40
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 12:40
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 12:40
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 12:39
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.96%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.60%EV +2.97%E +0.768%K +1.04%G +0.031%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -4.01%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 12:35
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -12.02%E -6.23%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV +2.70%E +0.701%K +0.947%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 12:20
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -14.30%E -7.61%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV +2.70%E +0.701%K +0.947%G +0.026%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -14.76%E -7.89%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +1.37%E +0.359%K +0.488%G +0.007%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -14.76%E -7.89%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +1.37%E +0.359%K +0.488%G +0.007%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 12:40
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -15.67%E -8.47%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 12:40
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.58%EV -3.82%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.71%EV -0.235%E -0.063%K -0.086%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 12:35
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.30%E -0.352%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 12:29
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -17.49%E -9.67%K -21.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -2.64%E -0.722%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 12:30
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 45.98%EV -9.29%E -4.67%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 12:30
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -4.27%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 12:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 12:35
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 12:35
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -1.54%E -0.713%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 12:40
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -1.54%E -0.713%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 12:40
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 12:35
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.73%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -10.67%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 12:40
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 12:20
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 12:40
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 12:30
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 12:38
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 12:40
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.63%EV -8.38%E -4.17%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 12:35
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -0.131%E -0.036%K -0.050%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 12:35
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 12:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 12:20
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 12:20
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.00%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 12:35
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.10%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.49%EV -10.67%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 12:35
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 12:35
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 12:30
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 12:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 12:35
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 12:40
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 12:35
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -14.00%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 12:40
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -13.31%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 12:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -13.31%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 12:40
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -14.64%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 12:35
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -14.64%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 12:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-07-25 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-07-25 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-07-25 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-07-25 12:40
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-07-25 12:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-07-25 12:30