La escuela de los momiosJagiellonia Białystok v Korona Kielce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Predicción 45.58%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.713%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.63%45.67%45.63%48.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.981.952.1655.25%50.54%51.28%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Korona Kielce (Visitante)
Predicción 26.68%3.75momio equitativo
EV +4.03%
Ventaja +1.03%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.056%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.83%26.56%26.62%27.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.543.503.9031.25%28.22%28.57%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.74%3.60momio equitativo
EV -0.131%
Ventaja -0.036%
Kelly -0.050%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.39%27.77%27.74%29.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.303.6032.26%30.22%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| betPARX | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV +4.03%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.056% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 12:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.96%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.60%EV +2.97%E +0.768%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -4.01%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -12.02%E -6.23%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV +2.70%E +0.701%K +0.947%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 12:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -14.30%E -7.61%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV +2.70%E +0.701%K +0.947%G +0.026% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -14.76%E -7.89%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +1.37%E +0.359%K +0.488%G +0.007% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%EV -14.76%E -7.89%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV +1.37%E +0.359%K +0.488%G +0.007% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -15.67%E -8.47%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.58%EV -3.82%E -1.81%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.71%EV -0.235%E -0.063%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.30%E -0.352%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 12:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -17.49%E -9.67%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -2.64%E -0.722%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.98%EV -9.29%E -4.67%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -4.27%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -7.07%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -1.54%E -0.713%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.63%EV -1.54%E -0.713%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76%EV -5.64%E -2.73%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -10.67%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 12:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Bovada | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 12:38 |
| BetUS | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.63%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.63%EV -8.38%E -4.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -0.131%E -0.036%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 12:20 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 12:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.00%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.10%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.49%EV -10.67%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| betano_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -14.00%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -13.31%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -13.31%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -14.64%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.45%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -14.64%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-07-25 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.99% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-07-25 12:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 12:30 |