Language:English
Jagiellonia Białystok v Górnik Zabrze
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Prediction 41.04%2.44fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.86%41.15%41.08%44.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.3450.00%45.61%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Górnik Zabrze (Visit)
Prediction 31.19%3.21fair odd
EV +2.91%
Edge +0.882%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.31%31.08%31.12%32.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.003.3036.36%33.31%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.78%3.60fair odd
EV +0.001%
Edge +0.000%
Kelly +0.000%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.42%27.77%27.79%29.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.303.303.6034.72%30.27%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 41.04%; Górnik Zabrze (Visit): 31.19%; Draw: 27.78%. For Górnik Zabrze (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -14.64%E -7.04%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -15.46%E -7.51%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.207%E -0.065%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -15.46%E -7.51%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.207%E -0.065%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.79%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.40%EV -1.77%E -0.561%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.33%EV -6.11%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -16.29%E -7.98%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -1.77%E -0.561%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -17.11%E -8.47%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -1.77%E -0.561%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -17.93%E -8.96%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -7.26%E -3.21%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -8.08%E -3.61%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -5.20%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 19:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -8.08%E -3.61%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 03:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -8.08%E -3.61%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -6.44%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 03:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -6.44%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 03:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.78%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.44%EV -8.90%E -4.01%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-20 03:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.14%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.82%EV -11.67%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 18:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 16:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.06%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.13%EV -13.62%E -4.92%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -20.00%E -6.94%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.30% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.30% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |