La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Jagiellonia Białystok v Górnik Zabrze
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Predicción 41.04%2.44momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -2.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.86%41.15%41.08%44.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.192.202.3450.00%45.61%45.45%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Górnik Zabrze (Visitante)
Predicción 31.19%3.21momio equitativo
EV +2.91%
Ventaja +0.882%
Kelly +1.27%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.31%31.08%31.12%32.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.3036.36%33.31%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.78%3.60momio equitativo
EV +0.001%
Ventaja +0.000%
Kelly +0.000%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.42%27.77%27.79%29.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.6034.72%30.27%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 18:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -14.64%E -7.04%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -15.46%E -7.51%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.207%E -0.065%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -15.46%E -7.51%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.207%E -0.065%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.79%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.40%EV -1.77%E -0.561%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.33%EV -6.11%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -16.29%E -7.98%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -1.77%E -0.561%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -17.11%E -8.47%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -1.77%E -0.561%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -17.93%E -8.96%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-19 10:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -7.26%E -3.21%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -8.08%E -3.61%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -5.20%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 19:54 |
| Bovada | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -8.08%E -3.61%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 03:28 |
| BetUS | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -8.08%E -3.61%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -6.44%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 03:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -6.44%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 03:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.78%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.44%EV -8.90%E -4.01%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-20 03:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.14%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.82%EV -11.67%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 18:38 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 16:54 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.06%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.13%EV -13.62%E -4.92%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -20.00%E -6.94%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 1.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.30% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.30% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |