Szkoła Kursów

Jagiellonia Białystok v Górnik Zabrze

Początek: 2026-04-24 18:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 41.04%2.44kurs godziwy
EV -3.97%
Przewaga -1.70%
Kelly -2.97%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.34

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.86%41.15%41.08%44.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.192.202.3450.00%45.61%45.45%42.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Górnik Zabrze (Goście)

Prognoza 31.19%3.21kurs godziwy
EV +2.91%
Przewaga +0.882%
Kelly +1.27%
Wzrost +0.037%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.31%31.08%31.12%32.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.003.003.3036.36%33.31%33.33%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.78%3.60kurs godziwy
EV +0.001%
Przewaga +0.000%
Kelly +0.000%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.42%27.77%27.79%29.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.303.303.6034.72%30.27%30.30%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 18:34
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 18:34
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 18:34
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 18:34
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:35
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:35
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:35
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:35
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:35
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -14.64%E -7.04%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -15.46%E -7.51%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.207%E -0.065%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 10:35
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -15.46%E -7.51%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.207%E -0.065%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 10:35
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.79%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.40%EV -1.77%E -0.561%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.33%EV -6.11%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -16.29%E -7.98%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -1.77%E -0.561%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 10:35
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -17.11%E -8.47%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -1.77%E -0.561%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 10:35
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 02:54
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -17.93%E -8.96%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 10:35
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -7.26%E -3.21%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:30
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:29
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -8.08%E -3.61%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -5.20%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:30
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:35
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 19:54
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -8.08%E -3.61%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:28
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -8.08%E -3.61%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:30
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 20:54
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 20:55
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:39
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -6.44%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 03:55
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -6.44%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 03:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 16:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 09:39
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.78%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 16:59
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 16:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:34
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 20:54
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 16:54
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:55
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.44%EV -8.90%E -4.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 03:55
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 18:35
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.14%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.82%EV -11.67%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 18:38
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 18:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 16:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 16:54
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 09:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-24 03:30
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.06%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.13%EV -13.62%E -4.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 20:54
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 02:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -20.00%E -6.94%K -10.64%G +0.000%18.7%2026-04-23 18:34
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%4.1%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16%4.4%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16%4.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16%4.4%2026-04-24 03:40
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.30%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.30%8.9%2026-04-24 00:35