L’École des cotes

Jagiellonia Białystok v Górnik Zabrze

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prévision 41.04%2.44cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -2.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.86%41.15%41.08%44.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.192.202.3450.00%45.61%45.45%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Górnik Zabrze (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.19%3.21cote équitable
EV +2.91%
Avantage +0.882%
Kelly +1.27%
Croissance +0.037%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.31%31.08%31.12%32.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.003.003.3036.36%33.31%33.33%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.78%3.60cote équitable
EV +0.001%
Avantage +0.000%
Kelly +0.000%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.42%27.77%27.79%29.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.303.303.6034.72%30.27%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 18:34
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 18:34
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 18:34
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -13.00%E -6.13%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +2.91%E +0.882%K +1.27%G +0.037%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 18:34
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:35
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:35
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:35
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:35
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:35
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -14.64%E -7.04%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV +1.35%E +0.416%K +0.601%G +0.008%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -15.46%E -7.51%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.207%E -0.065%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 10:35
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -15.46%E -7.51%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -0.207%E -0.065%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 10:35
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.79%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.40%EV -1.77%E -0.561%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.33%EV -6.11%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -16.29%E -7.98%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -1.77%E -0.561%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 10:35
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -17.11%E -8.47%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -1.77%E -0.561%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 10:35
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 02:54
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -17.93%E -8.96%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 10:35
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -7.26%E -3.21%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -4.57%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:30
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:29
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -8.08%E -3.61%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -5.20%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:30
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 18:35
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 19:54
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -8.08%E -3.61%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:28
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -8.08%E -3.61%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:30
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 20:54
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 20:55
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:39
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -6.44%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 03:55
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -6.44%E -2.82%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -7.07%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 03:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 16:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.62%E -2.44%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 09:39
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.78%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 16:59
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 16:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:34
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 20:54
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.19%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 16:54
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 20:55
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.44%EV -8.90%E -4.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 03:55
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 18:35
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.14%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.82%EV -11.67%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 18:38
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 18:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 16:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 16:54
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 09:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-24 03:30
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.06%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.13%EV -13.62%E -4.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 20:54
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 02:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -8.33%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%EV -13.82%E -6.58%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.63%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.25%EV -20.00%E -6.94%K -10.64%G +0.000%18.7%2026-04-23 18:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%4.1%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16%4.4%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16%4.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.16%4.4%2026-04-24 03:40
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.30%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.30%8.9%2026-04-24 00:35