Language:English
Górnik Zabrze v Raków Częstochowa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Górnik Zabrze (Local)
Prediction 40.14%2.49fair odd
EV -0.451%
Edge -0.182%
Kelly -0.305%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.93%40.03%40.21%41.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.312.4847.62%43.04%43.29%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Raków Częstochowa (Visit)
Prediction 30.69%3.26fair odd
EV -0.860%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.386%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.61%30.79%30.72%32.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.893.2336.36%34.13%34.60%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.17%3.43fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.864%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.36%29.18%29.07%30.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.153.3335.71%31.97%31.75%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Górnik Zabrze (Local): 40.14%; Raków Częstochowa (Visit): 30.69%; Draw: 29.17%. For Górnik Zabrze (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -0.451%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.89%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.53%EV -4.54%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.58%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.45%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.30%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -0.860%E -0.266%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.90%EV -2.88%E -0.864%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -11.04%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.87%E -2.96%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.53%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.87%E -2.96%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.53%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 16:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 16:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.45%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-15 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-15 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.62%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -8.42%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -18.34%E -6.55%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -10.08%E -4.50%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 16:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -10.08%E -4.50%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -11.04%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 16:16 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.70%E -6.37%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.48%EV -14.90%E -7.03%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.43%EV -13.44%E -4.77%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -13.96%E -4.73%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.00%EV -15.70%E -7.48%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -18.34%E -6.55%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84% | 0.0% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84% | 0.0% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.83% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |