A Escola das Odds

Górnik Zabrze v Raków Częstochowa

Início: 2026-03-15 16:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Górnik Zabrze (Local)

Previsão 40.14%2.49odd justa
EV -0.451%
Vantagem -0.182%
Kelly -0.305%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.93%40.03%40.21%41.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.322.312.4847.62%43.04%43.29%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Raków Częstochowa (Visitante)

Previsão 30.69%3.26odd justa
EV -0.860%
Vantagem -0.266%
Kelly -0.386%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.61%30.79%30.72%32.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.932.893.2336.36%34.13%34.60%30.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.17%3.43odd justa
EV -2.88%
Vantagem -0.864%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.36%29.18%29.07%30.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.133.153.3335.71%31.97%31.75%30.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:15
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:15
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 16:15
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 16:15
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 16:15
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 16:15
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:15
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:15
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:15
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 14:20
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 14:20
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.89%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.53%EV -4.54%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.58%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:20
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.45%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 16:15
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 16:15
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 16:20
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 16:19
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 16:15
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.30%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -0.860%E -0.266%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.90%EV -2.88%E -0.864%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 16:25
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -11.04%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 16:15
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.87%E -2.96%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.53%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 16:15
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.87%E -2.96%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.53%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 16:15
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 16:14
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 16:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 16:15
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:15
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:10
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:25
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.45%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:15
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 16:15
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 16:15
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 16:10
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.62%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -8.42%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 16:15
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 16:15
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 16:15
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 16:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -18.34%E -6.55%K -10.19%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-15 16:20
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -10.08%E -4.50%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:19
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -10.08%E -4.50%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:15
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 16:15
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -11.04%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 16:16
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 16:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 16:15
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.70%E -6.37%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-15 16:15
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.48%EV -14.90%E -7.03%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.43%EV -13.44%E -4.77%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -13.96%E -4.73%K -7.16%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-15 16:20
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.00%EV -15.70%E -7.48%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -18.34%E -6.55%K -10.19%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-15 16:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84%0.0%2026-03-15 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84%0.0%2026-03-15 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75%0.4%2026-03-15 16:25
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75%0.4%2026-03-15 16:25
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-15 16:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.83%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%2.9%2026-03-15 16:20