StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Górnik Zabrze v Raków Częstochowa

Matchstart: 2026-03-15 16:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Górnik Zabrze (Hemma)

Prognos 40.14%2.49rättvist odds
EV -0.451%
Fördel -0.182%
Kelly -0.305%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.93%40.03%40.21%41.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.322.312.4847.62%43.04%43.29%40.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Raków Częstochowa (Borta)

Prognos 30.69%3.26rättvist odds
EV -0.860%
Fördel -0.266%
Kelly -0.386%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.61%30.79%30.72%32.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.932.893.2336.36%34.13%34.60%30.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.17%3.43rättvist odds
EV -2.88%
Fördel -0.864%
Kelly -1.24%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.36%29.18%29.07%30.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.133.153.3335.71%31.97%31.75%30.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Górnik Zabrze (Hemma): 40.14%; Raków Częstochowa (Borta): 30.69%; Oavgjort: 29.17%. För Górnik Zabrze (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.49. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.48, med väntevärdet -0.451%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:15
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 16:15
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 16:15
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 16:15
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 16:15
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:15
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 14:20
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.89%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.53%EV -4.54%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.58%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.45%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 16:15
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 16:15
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.30%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -0.860%E -0.266%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.90%EV -2.88%E -0.864%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -11.04%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 16:15
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.87%E -2.96%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.53%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 16:15
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.87%E -2.96%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.53%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 16:15
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 16:14
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 16:20
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:15
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:10
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.45%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:15
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 16:15
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.62%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -8.42%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 16:15
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -18.34%E -6.55%K -10.19%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-15 16:20
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -10.08%E -4.50%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:19
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -10.08%E -4.50%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:15
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -11.04%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 16:16
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 16:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 16:15
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.70%E -6.37%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-15 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.48%EV -14.90%E -7.03%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.43%EV -13.44%E -4.77%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -13.96%E -4.73%K -7.16%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-15 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.00%EV -15.70%E -7.48%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -18.34%E -6.55%K -10.19%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-15 16:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84%0.0%2026-03-15 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.31%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84%0.0%2026-03-15 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75%0.4%2026-03-15 16:25
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75%0.4%2026-03-15 16:25
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-15 16:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.83%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%2.9%2026-03-15 16:20