La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Górnik Zabrze v Raków Częstochowa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Górnik Zabrze (Local)
Predicción 40.14%2.49momio equitativo
EV -0.451%
Ventaja -0.182%
Kelly -0.305%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.93%40.03%40.21%41.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.312.4847.62%43.04%43.29%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Raków Częstochowa (Visitante)
Predicción 30.69%3.26momio equitativo
EV -0.860%
Ventaja -0.266%
Kelly -0.386%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.61%30.79%30.72%32.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.893.2336.36%34.13%34.60%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.17%3.43momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -0.864%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.36%29.18%29.07%30.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.153.3335.71%31.97%31.75%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -0.451%E -0.182%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -2.46%E -1.01%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -5.46%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -5.50%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -3.66%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 14:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.89%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.53%EV -4.54%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.58%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.45%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -4.47%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -5.67%E -2.41%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.30%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -0.860%E -0.266%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.90%EV -2.88%E -0.864%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -6.47%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -11.04%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.87%E -2.96%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.53%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.87%E -2.96%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.53%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 16:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 16:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -9.45%E -3.20%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-15 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-15 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.62%EV -8.48%E -3.72%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -8.42%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -18.34%E -6.55%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| Bovada | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -10.08%E -4.50%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 16:19 |
| BetUS | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -10.08%E -4.50%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.24%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.02%EV -11.04%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-15 16:16 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -11.69%E -5.31%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.70%E -6.37%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.48%EV -14.90%E -7.03%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.43%EV -13.44%E -4.77%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -13.96%E -4.73%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.00%EV -15.70%E -7.48%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -18.34%E -6.55%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84% | 0.0% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.84% | 0.0% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.83% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |