Language:English
GKS Katowice v Nieciecza
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
GKS Katowice (Local)
Prediction 60.02%1.67fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -6.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.72%59.94%59.99%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.541.6069.44%65.11%64.72%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nieciecza (Visit)
Prediction 19.37%5.16fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.434%
Kelly +0.536%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 5.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.01%19.51%19.37%20.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.734.805.2823.81%21.14%20.83%18.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.61%4.85fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.446%
Kelly -0.565%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.38%20.56%20.64%23.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.394.404.7527.78%22.76%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GKS Katowice (Local): 60.02%; Nieciecza (Visit): 19.37%; Draw: 20.61%. For Nieciecza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.95%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV +2.29%E +0.434%K +0.536%G +0.012% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.04%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.71%EV -4.10%E -0.828%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 10:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.44%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -3.15%E -0.670%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.37%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -10.36%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 09:51 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.92%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.73%EV -5.84%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.35%EV -2.94%E -0.625%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 10:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.99%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.30%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 10:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.99%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.30%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.03%EV -9.37%E -6.21%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -10.57%E -7.09%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -12.42%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.12%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 09:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 10:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.10%EV -11.17%E -7.55%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.73%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.47%EV -12.97%E -8.95%K -28.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -8.94%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -2.12%E -0.446%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.78%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 09:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 10:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.48%EV -10.57%E -7.09%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.91%EV -13.79%E -3.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.76%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 10:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.57%E -4.39%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.72%EV -9.97%E -6.65%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.65%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.63%EV -25.82%E -7.17%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.05%EV -10.57%E -7.09%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -18.63%E -4.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.69%EV -13.57%E -9.43%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.46%EV -18.63%E -4.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.85%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 10:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.82% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 10:11 |