La escuela de los momiosEspañol
GKS Katowice v Nieciecza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
GKS Katowice (Local)
Predicción 60.02%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -2.48%
Kelly -6.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.72%59.94%59.99%60.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.541.541.6069.44%65.11%64.72%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nieciecza (Visitante)
Predicción 19.37%5.16momio equitativo
EV +2.29%
Ventaja +0.434%
Kelly +0.536%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.01%19.51%19.37%20.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.734.805.2823.81%21.14%20.83%18.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.61%4.85momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.446%
Kelly -0.565%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.38%20.56%20.64%23.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.394.404.7527.78%22.76%22.73%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.95%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV +2.29%E +0.434%K +0.536%G +0.012% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.04%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:11 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.71%EV -4.10%E -0.828%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 10:11 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.44%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -3.15%E -0.670%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.37%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -10.36%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 09:51 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.92%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.73%EV -5.84%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.35%EV -2.94%E -0.625%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 10:09 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.99%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.30%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 10:08 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.99%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.30%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.03%EV -9.37%E -6.21%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -10.57%E -7.09%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -12.42%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.12%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 09:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 10:11 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.10%EV -11.17%E -7.55%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.73%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.47%EV -12.97%E -8.95%K -28.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -8.94%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:01 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -2.12%E -0.446%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.78%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 10:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 09:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 10:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.48%EV -10.57%E -7.09%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.91%EV -13.79%E -3.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.76%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 10:01 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.57%E -4.39%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.72%EV -9.97%E -6.65%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.65%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.63%EV -25.82%E -7.17%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.05%EV -10.57%E -7.09%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -18.63%E -4.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.69%EV -13.57%E -9.43%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.46%EV -18.63%E -4.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.85%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 10:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 10:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.82% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 10:11 |