L’École des cotes

GKS Katowice v Nieciecza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 10:15 UTC

Score final : GKS Katowice 5–1 Nieciecza

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

GKS Katowice (Local)

Prévision 60.02%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -2.48%
Kelly -6.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.72%59.94%59.99%60.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.541.541.6069.44%65.11%64.72%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nieciecza (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.37%5.16cote équitable
EV +2.29%
Avantage +0.434%
Kelly +0.536%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.01%19.51%19.37%20.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.734.805.2823.81%21.14%20.83%18.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.61%4.85cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.446%
Kelly -0.565%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.38%20.56%20.64%23.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.394.404.7527.78%22.76%22.73%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.95%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV +2.29%E +0.434%K +0.536%G +0.012%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.04%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:10
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 10:00
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:05
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:05
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:05
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:11
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:05
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.71%EV -4.10%E -0.828%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:11
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.44%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -3.15%E -0.670%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 10:10
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:10
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.37%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 10:00
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:05
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:05
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:05
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:05
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:05
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -10.36%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:05
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 09:51
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.92%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.73%EV -5.84%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.35%EV -2.94%E -0.625%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 10:05
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:09
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.99%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.30%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:08
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.99%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.30%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.03%EV -9.37%E -6.21%K -18.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 10:05
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -10.57%E -7.09%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -12.42%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 10:05
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.12%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:10
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:10
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:10
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 09:54
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 10:11
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 60.10%EV -11.17%E -7.55%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.73%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 10:05
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.47%EV -12.97%E -8.95%K -28.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -8.94%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 10:05
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:01
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 09:59
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:00
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 10:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -2.12%E -0.446%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 10:10
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.78%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 10:05
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 09:59
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 10:01
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.48%EV -10.57%E -7.09%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.91%EV -13.79%E -3.10%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 10:10
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.76%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 10:01
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 10:00
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.57%E -4.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.72%EV -9.97%E -6.65%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.65%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.63%EV -25.82%E -7.17%K -9.93%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-03 10:00
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.05%EV -10.57%E -7.09%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -18.63%E -4.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 10:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 59.69%EV -13.57%E -9.43%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.46%EV -18.63%E -4.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.85%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-03 10:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-05-03 10:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-05-03 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-05-03 10:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-05-03 10:10
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-05-03 10:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.82%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%4.2%2026-05-03 10:11