A Escola das Odds

GKS Katowice v Nieciecza

Início: 2026-05-03 10:15 UTC

Final: GKS Katowice 5–1 Nieciecza

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

GKS Katowice (Local)

Previsão 60.02%1.67odd justa
EV -3.97%
Vantagem -2.48%
Kelly -6.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.72%59.94%59.99%60.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.541.541.6069.44%65.11%64.72%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nieciecza (Visitante)

Previsão 19.37%5.16odd justa
EV +2.29%
Vantagem +0.434%
Kelly +0.536%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.01%19.51%19.37%20.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.734.805.2823.81%21.14%20.83%18.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.61%4.85odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -0.446%
Kelly -0.565%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.38%20.56%20.64%23.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.394.404.7527.78%22.76%22.73%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.95%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.01%EV +2.29%E +0.434%K +0.536%G +0.012%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.04%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:10
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -5.17%E -3.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 10:00
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:05
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:05
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:05
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:11
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:05
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.71%EV -4.10%E -0.828%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:11
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.44%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -3.15%E -0.670%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 10:10
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:10
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.37%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 10:00
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:05
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:05
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:05
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:05
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:05
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -10.36%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 10:05
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 09:51
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.92%EV -3.97%E -2.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.73%EV -5.84%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.35%EV -2.94%E -0.625%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 10:05
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:09
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.99%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.30%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:08
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.99%EV -7.57%E -4.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.30%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.03%EV -9.37%E -6.21%K -18.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 10:05
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -10.57%E -7.09%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -7.01%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -12.42%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 10:05
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.12%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:10
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:10
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:10
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 09:54
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 10:11
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 60.10%EV -11.17%E -7.55%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.73%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 10:05
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.47%EV -12.97%E -8.95%K -28.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -8.94%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 10:05
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.27%E -1.62%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:01
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -5.77%E -3.67%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 09:59
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:00
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 10:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -2.12%E -0.446%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 10:10
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.78%EV -6.37%E -4.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 10:05
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 09:59
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 10:01
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.48%EV -10.57%E -7.09%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.91%EV -13.79%E -3.10%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -11.39%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 10:10
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.77%E -5.77%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.76%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.21%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 10:01
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.97%E -4.50%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.45%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 10:00
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -8.17%E -5.34%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -17.57%E -4.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.72%EV -9.97%E -6.65%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.65%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.63%EV -25.82%E -7.17%K -9.93%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-03 10:00
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.05%EV -10.57%E -7.09%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -18.63%E -4.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -9.33%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 10:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 59.69%EV -13.57%E -9.43%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.46%EV -18.63%E -4.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.85%EV -10.77%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-03 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-05-03 10:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-05-03 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-05-03 10:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-05-03 10:10
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-05-03 10:10
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.82%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%4.2%2026-05-03 10:11