Language:English
Cracovia Kraków v Raków Częstochowa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cracovia Kraków (Local)
Prediction 37.90%2.64fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.83%37.88%37.91%38.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.422.5543.48%41.18%41.32%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Raków Częstochowa (Visit)
Prediction 32.88%3.04fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.81%32.91%32.87%33.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.782.762.9037.74%35.96%36.23%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.22%3.42fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.646%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.22%29.21%30.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.123.103.3733.90%32.04%32.26%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cracovia Kraków (Local): 37.90%; Raków Częstochowa (Visit): 32.88%; Draw: 29.22%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.37, with an expected value of -1.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -3.36%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.74%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.54%EV -5.63%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.56%EV -1.53%E -0.455%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.74%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -8.59%E -3.09%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.74%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -8.59%E -3.09%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 15:21 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.71%EV -6.77%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.71%EV -6.77%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.30%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.78%EV -7.53%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.40%EV -9.24%E -3.35%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 15:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.78%EV -7.53%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.40%EV -9.24%E -3.35%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.29%E -3.42%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -10.88%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.29%E -3.42%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -10.88%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.12%EV -8.67%E -3.60%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -4.64%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 15:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.18%E -4.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.18%E -4.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.94%E -4.66%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -12.08%E -5.21%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.31%EV -11.76%E -3.89%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 15:13 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-16 15:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 15:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.66% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.41% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.89% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |