StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cracovia Kraków v Raków Częstochowa

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 15:30 UTC

Endstand: Cracovia Kraków 2–1 Raków Częstochowa

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cracovia Kraków (Heim)

Prognose 37.90%2.64faire Quote
EV -3.36%
Vorteil -1.32%
Kelly -2.17%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.83%37.88%37.91%38.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.302.432.422.5543.48%41.18%41.32%39.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Raków Częstochowa (Auswärts)

Prognose 32.88%3.04faire Quote
EV -4.64%
Vorteil -1.60%
Kelly -2.44%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.81%32.91%32.87%33.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.652.782.762.9037.74%35.96%36.23%34.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.22%3.42faire Quote
EV -1.53%
Vorteil -0.455%
Kelly -0.646%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.37

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.97%29.22%29.21%30.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.953.123.103.3733.90%32.04%32.26%29.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Cracovia Kraków (Heim): 37.90%; Raków Częstochowa (Auswärts): 32.88%; Unentschieden: 29.22%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.42. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.37, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.53%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -3.36%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 15:24
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.74%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.54%EV -5.63%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.56%EV -1.53%E -0.455%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.74%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -8.59%E -3.09%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 15:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.74%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -8.59%E -3.09%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 15:20
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 15:14
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 15:19
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 15:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 15:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:24
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:25
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:25
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:25
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:21
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:25
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.71%EV -6.77%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.71%EV -6.77%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.30%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 14:30
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:19
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 15:14
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 15:20
Bovada🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.78%EV -7.53%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.40%EV -9.24%E -3.35%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:18
BetUS🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.78%EV -7.53%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.40%EV -9.24%E -3.35%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:19
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.29%E -3.42%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -10.88%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 14:30
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.29%E -3.42%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -10.88%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 14:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.12%EV -8.67%E -3.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 14:35
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 15:14
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -4.64%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 14:34
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 15:25
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 15:25
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 15:19
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:24
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 15:19
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 15:14
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 15:25
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 15:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 15:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 15:14
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.18%E -4.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.18%E -4.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 15:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.94%E -4.66%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -12.08%E -5.21%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-16 15:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.31%EV -11.76%E -3.89%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 15:13
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-16 15:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-16 15:15
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.66%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-08-16 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.1%2026-08-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.1%2026-08-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.1%2026-08-16 15:15
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.41%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-08-16 15:20