Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cracovia Kraków v Raków Częstochowa

Inizio: 2026-08-16 15:30 UTC

Finale: Cracovia Kraków 2–1 Raków Częstochowa

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cracovia Kraków (Casa)

Previsione 37.90%2.64quota equa
EV -3.36%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.83%37.88%37.91%38.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.432.422.5543.48%41.18%41.32%39.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Raków Częstochowa (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.88%3.04quota equa
EV -4.64%
Vantaggio -1.60%
Kelly -2.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.81%32.91%32.87%33.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.782.762.9037.74%35.96%36.23%34.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.22%3.42quota equa
EV -1.53%
Vantaggio -0.455%
Kelly -0.646%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.97%29.22%29.21%30.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.123.103.3733.90%32.04%32.26%29.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cracovia Kraków (Casa): 37.90%; Raków Częstochowa (Trasferta): 32.88%; Pareggio: 29.22%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.42. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.37, con un valore atteso del -1.53%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -3.36%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 15:24
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.74%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.54%EV -5.63%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.56%EV -1.53%E -0.455%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.74%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -8.59%E -3.09%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 15:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.74%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -8.59%E -3.09%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 15:20
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.04%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 15:14
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 15:19
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 15:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -5.25%E -2.10%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 15:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:24
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:25
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:25
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:25
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:21
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -6.01%E -2.42%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:25
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.71%EV -6.77%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.71%EV -6.77%E -2.75%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.30%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 14:30
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:19
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 15:14
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.15%E -2.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 15:20
Bovada🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.78%EV -7.53%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.40%EV -9.24%E -3.35%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:18
BetUS🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.78%EV -7.53%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.40%EV -9.24%E -3.35%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:19
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.29%E -3.42%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -10.88%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 14:30
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.29%E -3.42%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -10.88%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 14:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.12%EV -8.67%E -3.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 14:35
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.58%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 15:14
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -4.64%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 14:34
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 15:25
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 15:25
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.50%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 15:19
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 15:24
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 15:19
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 15:14
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 15:25
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.77%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 15:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 15:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -9.80%E -4.12%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 15:14
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.18%E -4.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -10.18%E -4.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 15:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.94%E -4.66%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.96%E -2.53%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -12.08%E -5.21%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-16 15:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.22%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.42%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.31%EV -11.76%E -3.89%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 15:13
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.83%E -5.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-16 15:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-16 15:15
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.66%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-08-16 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.1%2026-08-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.1%2026-08-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%1.1%2026-08-16 15:15
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.41%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-08-16 15:20