The School of Odds

Cracovia Kraków v Pogoń Szczecin

2026-08-03 17:00 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cracovia Kraków (Local)

Prediction 40.20%2.49fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.01%40.16%40.17%41.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.082.262.302.4048.08%44.22%43.48%41.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Pogoń Szczecin (Visit)

Prediction 27.72%3.61fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.623%
Kelly +0.855%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 3.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%27.71%27.78%30.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.203.6933.33%30.99%31.25%27.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.07%3.12fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.24%32.13%32.05%34.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.873.0037.04%34.73%34.90%33.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 39.68%EV -3.92%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.70%EV +2.30%E +0.623%K +0.855%G +0.020%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -12.12%E -4.42%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 18:25
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -1.58%E -0.446%K -0.620%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -11.79%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 19:50
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.91%EV -9.23%E -3.26%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 18:45
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.64%EV -8.34%E -3.66%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.74%EV -9.23%E -3.26%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 18:40
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 19:10
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.79%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.52%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:19
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:20
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.55%E -4.24%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:20
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 18:20
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 18:20
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.62%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 18:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -15.58%E -7.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-27 18:19
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 41.41%EV -16.38%E -7.88%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.05%EV -14.89%E -4.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.39%K -5.25%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-27 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -13.57%E -6.31%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -15.44%E -5.06%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-27 18:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -16.83%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 18:15
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -16.83%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 18:15
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -16.83%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 18:15
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -11.56%E -5.25%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -16.83%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-27 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.04%EV -15.58%E -7.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -16.83%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-27 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 40.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.66%14.0%2026-07-27 18:21