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Cracovia Kraków v Pogoń Szczecin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cracovia Kraków (Local)
Prediction 41.51%2.41fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.39%41.50%41.54%44.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.232.3247.62%45.07%44.84%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pogoń Szczecin (Visit)
Prediction 29.64%3.37fair odd
EV +0.200%
Edge +0.059%
Kelly +0.084%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.09%29.62%29.69%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.103.3834.48%32.05%32.26%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.84%3.47fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.561%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.76%28.88%28.77%30.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.103.4234.48%31.84%32.26%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cracovia Kraków (Local): 41.51%; Pogoń Szczecin (Visit): 29.64%; Draw: 28.84%. For Pogoń Szczecin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.200%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV +0.200%E +0.059%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -1.36%E -0.397%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.63%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.32%EV -2.76%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.05%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.63%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.32%EV -2.76%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.05%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.49%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -3.06%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 16:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-03 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.01%E -3.13%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -14.91%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.28%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.28%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.569%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-03 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-03 16:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.82%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.75%EV -11.99%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.70%EV -11.66%E -3.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -12.55%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -12.82%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.55%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24% | 2.1% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
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