Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cracovia Kraków (Local): 41.51%; Pogoń Szczecin (Visitante): 29.64%; Empate: 28.84%. Para Pogoń Szczecin (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.37. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.200%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV +0.200%E +0.059%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -1.36%E -0.397%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.63%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.32%EV -2.76%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.05%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.63%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.32%EV -2.76%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.05%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.49%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -3.06%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 16:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 16:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-03 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.01%E -3.13%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -14.91%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.28%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.28%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-03 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.569%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-03 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-03 16:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.82%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.75%EV -11.99%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.70%EV -11.66%E -3.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -12.55%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-03 16:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -12.82%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.55%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-03 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-08-03 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24% | 2.1% | 2026-08-03 16:55 |