Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cracovia Kraków v Pogoń Szczecin

Początek: 2026-08-03 17:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cracovia Kraków 0–2 Pogoń Szczecin

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cracovia Kraków (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 41.51%2.41kurs godziwy
EV -3.69%
Przewaga -1.59%
Kelly -2.80%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.32

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.39%41.50%41.54%44.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.222.232.3247.62%45.07%44.84%43.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Pogoń Szczecin (Goście)

Prognoza 29.64%3.37kurs godziwy
EV +0.200%
Przewaga +0.059%
Kelly +0.084%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.09%29.62%29.69%31.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.123.103.3834.48%32.05%32.26%29.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.84%3.47kurs godziwy
EV -1.36%
Przewaga -0.397%
Kelly -0.561%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.76%28.88%28.77%30.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.143.103.4234.48%31.84%32.26%29.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Cracovia Kraków (Gospodarze): 41.51%; Pogoń Szczecin (Goście): 29.64%; Remis: 28.84%. Dla wyniku Pogoń Szczecin (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.37. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.38, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.200%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV +0.200%E +0.059%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -1.36%E -0.397%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 16:55
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.17%E -0.658%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.63%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.32%EV -2.76%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.05%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.63%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.32%EV -2.76%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.05%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 16:44
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.49%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.43%EV -3.06%E -0.936%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.08%EV -4.53%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 16:45
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 16:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 16:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 16:50
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 16:49
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 16:45
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 16:46
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 16:19
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:50
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-03 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.14%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-03 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.01%E -3.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -6.32%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 16:39
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 16:35
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-03 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-03 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -6.62%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -14.91%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-03 16:49
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.28%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 16:50
BetUS🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.28%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 16:49
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -7.51%E -2.41%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 16:54
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.93%E -0.569%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:44
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 16:40
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:45
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 16:55
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 16:48
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-03 14:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.10%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-03 16:50
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.19%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 16:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-03 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 16:39
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 16:54
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-03 16:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.82%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.07%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-03 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.75%EV -11.99%E -5.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.70%EV -11.66%E -3.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-03 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -12.55%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-03 16:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -12.82%E -6.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.55%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -12.03%E -3.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-03 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-03 16:44
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-03 16:45
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.03%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-03 16:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-03 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-03 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-03 16:40
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-03 16:40
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-08-03 16:50
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%2.1%2026-08-03 16:55