La scuola delle quote

Cracovia Kraków v Pogoń Szczecin

2026-08-03 17:00 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

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22 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cracovia Kraków (Casa)

Previsione 40.07%2.50quota equa
EV -3.82%
Vantaggio -1.59%
Kelly -2.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.01%40.08%39.98%41.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.082.262.302.4048.08%44.18%43.48%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pogoń Szczecin (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.02%3.57quota equa
EV +3.39%
Vantaggio +0.919%
Kelly +1.26%
Crescita +0.043%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.70%27.88%28.40%30.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.223.203.6933.33%31.08%31.25%27.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.91%3.13quota equa
EV -4.28%
Vantaggio -1.43%
Kelly -2.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.24%32.03%31.62%34.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.882.893.0037.04%34.67%34.60%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 39.68%EV -4.23%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.70%EV +3.39%E +0.919%K +1.26%G +0.043%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -12.57%E -4.59%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 18:25
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.83%E -3.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -0.532%E -0.150%K -0.208%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.25%E -4.46%K -7.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 19:50
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.83%E -3.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.93%E -0.552%K -0.773%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.91%EV -9.70%E -3.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 18:45
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.64%EV -8.63%E -3.79%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -2.49%E -0.716%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.74%EV -9.70%E -3.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 18:40
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.83%E -3.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.25%E -4.46%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 18:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:19
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:20
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 18:20
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.83%E -3.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 20:55
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.83%E -3.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 18:20
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.83%E -3.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.11%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 18:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -7.83%E -3.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.14%E -4.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -15.85%E -7.55%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.14%E -4.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-27 18:19
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 41.41%EV -16.65%E -8.00%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.05%EV -13.98%E -4.55%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.54%EV -10.02%E -3.55%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-27 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -13.84%E -6.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -14.54%E -4.77%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -7.47%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-27 18:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.83%E -3.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 18:15
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.83%E -3.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 18:15
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.83%E -3.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 18:15
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -13.85%E -5.13%K -8.15%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-27 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.04%EV -15.85%E -7.55%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -9.06%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-27 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 40.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.66%14.0%2026-07-27 18:21