Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.68
assuming max odds 2.88
assuming max odds 3.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cracovia Kraków (Local): 36.65%; Górnik Zabrze (Visit): 35.26%; Draw: 28.09%. For Górnik Zabrze (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.54%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.95%EV -1.77%E -0.661%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -3.05%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.02%EV -6.74%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.83%EV -14.60%E -6.27%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -3.05%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -17.53%E -7.79%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -3.05%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -18.27%E -8.19%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -4.81%E -1.78%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -18.27%E -8.19%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -4.81%E -1.78%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -18.27%E -8.19%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -4.81%E -1.78%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -18.27%E -8.19%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -4.81%E -1.78%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -2.51%E -0.942%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -6.22%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -2.51%E -0.942%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -6.22%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -2.51%E -0.942%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -6.22%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.00%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.98%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -5.80%E -2.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.90%EV -6.92%E -2.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -11.51%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -0.837%E -0.237%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -9.10%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 12:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.03%E -5.01%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 12:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -12.77%E -5.36%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 12:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -13.62%E -5.56%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.82% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.34% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.80% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.42% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.33% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64% | 2.7% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.00% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.21% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |