Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cracovia Kraków v Górnik Zabrze

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 12:46 UTC

Score final : Cracovia Kraków 0–1 Górnik Zabrze

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cracovia Kraków (Local)

Prévision 36.65%2.73cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.661%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.62%36.61%36.64%39.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.232.462.452.6844.84%40.71%40.82%37.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Górnik Zabrze (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.26%2.84cote équitable
EV +1.54%
Avantage +0.534%
Kelly +0.818%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.55%35.29%35.21%36.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.642.602.8840.82%37.88%38.46%34.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.09%3.56cote équitable
EV -0.837%
Avantage -0.237%
Kelly -0.331%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%28.10%28.15%29.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.283.253.5332.26%30.47%30.77%28.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cracovia Kraków (Local) : 36.65% ; Górnik Zabrze (Visiteur) : 35.26% ; Match nul : 28.09%. Pour Górnik Zabrze (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.84. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.88, soit une espérance positive de +1.54%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.95%EV -1.77%E -0.661%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -3.05%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.02%EV -6.74%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 12:25
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.83%EV -14.60%E -6.27%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -3.05%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 12:25
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -17.53%E -7.79%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -3.05%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -18.27%E -8.19%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -4.81%E -1.78%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -18.27%E -8.19%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -4.81%E -1.78%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -18.27%E -8.19%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -4.81%E -1.78%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -18.27%E -8.19%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -4.81%E -1.78%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -2.51%E -0.942%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -6.22%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -2.51%E -0.942%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -6.22%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 12:40
BetUS🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -2.51%E -0.942%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -6.22%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 12:40
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 12:35
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.00%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.98%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 12:30
Bovada🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -5.80%E -2.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.90%EV -6.92%E -2.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -11.51%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 12:20
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 12:20
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 12:20
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -0.837%E -0.237%K -0.331%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 12:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:45
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:35
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -9.10%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:20
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:35
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:35
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:39
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:35
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 12:35
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 12:35
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 12:20
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 12:20
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.03%E -5.01%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 12:44
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -12.77%E -5.36%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 12:43
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -13.62%E -5.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-09-06 12:40
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.80%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-06 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71%2.4%2026-09-06 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.33%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.03%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%2.7%2026-09-06 12:45
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.00%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.21%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%3.7%2026-09-06 12:45