Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cracovia Kraków v Górnik Zabrze

Początek: 2026-09-06 12:46 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cracovia Kraków 0–1 Górnik Zabrze

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cracovia Kraków (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.65%2.73kurs godziwy
EV -1.77%
Przewaga -0.661%
Kelly -1.05%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.62%36.61%36.64%39.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.232.462.452.6844.84%40.71%40.82%37.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Górnik Zabrze (Goście)

Prognoza 35.26%2.84kurs godziwy
EV +1.54%
Przewaga +0.534%
Kelly +0.818%
Wzrost +0.013%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.88

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.55%35.29%35.21%36.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.452.642.602.8840.82%37.88%38.46%34.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.09%3.56kurs godziwy
EV -0.837%
Przewaga -0.237%
Kelly -0.331%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.53

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.92%28.10%28.15%29.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.283.253.5332.26%30.47%30.77%28.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Cracovia Kraków (Gospodarze): 36.65%; Górnik Zabrze (Goście): 35.26%; Remis: 28.09%. Dla wyniku Górnik Zabrze (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.84. 8 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.88, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.54%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV +1.54%E +0.534%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.95%EV -1.77%E -0.661%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.03%EV -3.05%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.02%EV -6.74%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 12:25
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.83%EV -14.60%E -6.27%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -3.05%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 12:25
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -17.53%E -7.79%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -3.05%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -18.27%E -8.19%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -4.81%E -1.78%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -18.27%E -8.19%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -4.81%E -1.78%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -18.27%E -8.19%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -4.81%E -1.78%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -18.27%E -8.19%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -4.81%E -1.78%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -2.51%E -0.942%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -6.22%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -2.51%E -0.942%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -6.22%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 12:40
BetUS🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -2.51%E -0.942%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.32%EV -6.22%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 12:40
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.68%E -0.480%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 12:35
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.00%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -8.98%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 12:30
Bovada🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -5.80%E -2.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.90%EV -6.92%E -2.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -11.51%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 12:20
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 12:20
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 12:20
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -0.837%E -0.237%K -0.331%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 12:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:45
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:35
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -9.10%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:20
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.33%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:35
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:35
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:39
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -6.54%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:35
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -13.87%E -5.90%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 12:35
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 12:35
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -8.70%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 12:20
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 12:20
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.11%E -3.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.03%E -5.01%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 12:44
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -12.77%E -5.36%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.92%E -4.17%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 12:43
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -13.62%E -5.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -7.30%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-09-06 12:40
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.34%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.80%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-06 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71%2.4%2026-09-06 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.33%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.03%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%2.7%2026-09-06 12:45
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.00%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.21%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%3.7%2026-09-06 12:45