A Escola das Odds

Vålerenga v Sarpsborg FK

Início: 2026-05-16 18:00 UTC

Final: Vålerenga 3–2 Sarpsborg FK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Vålerenga (Local)

Previsão 50.62%1.98odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -1.74%
Kelly -3.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.89%50.67%50.55%52.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.811.801.9159.52%55.37%55.56%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sarpsborg FK (Visitante)

Previsão 25.76%3.88odd justa
EV +0.220%
Vantagem +0.057%
Kelly +0.076%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.04%25.73%25.85%27.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.623.603.8930.77%27.60%27.78%25.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.62%4.23odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.360%
Kelly -0.473%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.73%23.61%23.59%25.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.883.904.1730.30%25.81%25.64%23.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.08%EV -3.83%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.95%EV +0.220%E +0.057%K +0.076%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.97%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 17:20
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:20
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -10.92%E -6.20%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.93%E -6.86%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:30
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.93%E -6.86%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:30
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.70%EV -3.32%E -1.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.96%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.34%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 17:55
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.98%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -7.40%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 17:44
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 17:42
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 17:50
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 17:20
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.15%EV -12.94%E -7.52%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 15:30
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 17:45
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -14.97%E -8.91%K -22.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 15:30
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.58%EV -5.86%E -3.15%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.84%EV -6.22%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.58%EV -5.75%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 17:49
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.34%E -2.29%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:45
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.34%E -2.29%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:45
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.34%E -2.29%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 17:45
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 17:55
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 17:15
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 17:49
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 17:35
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 17:35
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 17:20
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.69%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -1.50%E -0.360%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:55
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:50
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:50
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:15
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 17:44
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 17:45
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 17:20
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 17:44
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.92%E -6.20%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 17:50
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.32%EV -13.45%E -7.86%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.59%EV -11.63%E -3.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 17:44
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -22.05%E -6.68%K -9.59%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-16 17:45
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.09%EV -10.92%E -6.20%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -14.98%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 17:45
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.31%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -16.27%E -5.01%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-05-16 17:55