Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vålerenga v Sarpsborg FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 18:00 UTC

Score final : Vålerenga 3–2 Sarpsborg FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vålerenga (Local)

Prévision 50.62%1.98cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -3.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.89%50.67%50.55%52.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.811.801.9159.52%55.37%55.56%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.76%3.88cote équitable
EV +0.220%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.076%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.04%25.73%25.85%27.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.623.603.8930.77%27.60%27.78%25.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.62%4.23cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.360%
Kelly -0.473%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.73%23.61%23.59%25.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.883.904.1730.30%25.81%25.64%23.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vålerenga (Local) : 50.62% ; Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur) : 25.76% ; Match nul : 23.62%. Pour Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.88. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.89, soit une espérance positive de +0.220%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.08%EV -3.83%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.95%EV +0.220%E +0.057%K +0.076%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.97%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 17:20
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -10.92%E -6.20%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.93%E -6.86%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.93%E -6.86%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.70%EV -3.32%E -1.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.96%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.34%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.98%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -7.40%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 17:44
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 17:42
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.15%EV -12.94%E -7.52%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 15:30
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -14.97%E -8.91%K -22.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 15:30
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.58%EV -5.86%E -3.15%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.84%EV -6.22%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.58%EV -5.75%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.34%E -2.29%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.34%E -2.29%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:45
BetAnything🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.34%E -2.29%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 17:45
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 17:55
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 17:15
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 17:49
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 17:35
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 17:20
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.69%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -1.50%E -0.360%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:55
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:15
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 17:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 17:45
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 17:20
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 17:44
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.92%E -6.20%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.32%EV -13.45%E -7.86%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.59%EV -11.63%E -3.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -22.05%E -6.68%K -9.59%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-16 17:45
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.09%EV -10.92%E -6.20%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -14.98%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 17:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.31%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -16.27%E -5.01%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-05-16 17:55