مدرسة الاحتمالات

Vålerenga v Sarpsborg FK

البداية: 2026-05-16 18:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Vålerenga 3–2 Sarpsborg FK

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Vålerenga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.62%1.98السعر العادل
EV -3.32%
الأفضلية -1.74%
Kelly -3.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.89%50.67%50.55%52.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.811.801.9159.52%55.37%55.56%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sarpsborg FK (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.76%3.88السعر العادل
EV +0.220%
الأفضلية +0.057%
Kelly +0.076%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.89

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.04%25.73%25.85%27.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.623.603.8930.77%27.60%27.78%25.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.62%4.23السعر العادل
EV -1.50%
الأفضلية -0.360%
Kelly -0.473%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.73%23.61%23.59%25.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.883.904.1730.30%25.81%25.64%23.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.08%EV -3.83%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.95%EV +0.220%E +0.057%K +0.076%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.97%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 17:20
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:30
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 17:20
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -10.92%E -6.20%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.93%E -6.86%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:30
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.93%E -6.86%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:30
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.70%EV -3.32%E -1.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.96%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.34%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 17:55
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.98%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -7.40%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 17:44
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 17:42
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 17:50
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 17:20
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.15%EV -12.94%E -7.52%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 15:30
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 17:45
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -14.97%E -8.91%K -22.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 15:30
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.58%EV -5.86%E -3.15%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.84%EV -6.22%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.58%EV -5.75%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 17:49
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.34%E -2.29%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:45
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.34%E -2.29%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:45
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.34%E -2.29%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 17:45
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 17:55
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 17:15
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 17:49
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 17:35
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 17:35
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 17:20
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.69%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -1.50%E -0.360%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:55
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:50
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:50
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:15
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 17:44
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 17:45
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 17:20
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 17:44
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.92%E -6.20%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 17:50
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.32%EV -13.45%E -7.86%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.59%EV -11.63%E -3.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 17:44
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 17:45
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -22.05%E -6.68%K -9.59%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-16 17:45
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.09%EV -10.92%E -6.20%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -14.98%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 17:45
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.31%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -16.27%E -5.01%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 17:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-05-16 17:55