La escuela de los momiosVålerenga v Sarpsborg FK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vålerenga (Local)
Predicción 50.62%1.98momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.89%50.67%50.55%52.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.811.801.9159.52%55.37%55.56%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sarpsborg FK (Visitante)
Predicción 25.76%3.88momio equitativo
EV +0.220%
Ventaja +0.057%
Kelly +0.076%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.04%25.73%25.85%27.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.623.603.8930.77%27.60%27.78%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.62%4.23momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.360%
Kelly -0.473%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.73%23.61%23.59%25.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.883.904.1730.30%25.81%25.64%23.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.08%EV -3.83%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.95%EV +0.220%E +0.057%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.97%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 17:20 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| betPARX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -0.811%E -0.211%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 17:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -10.92%E -6.20%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.93%E -6.86%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -11.93%E -6.86%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.70%EV -3.32%E -1.74%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.96%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.34%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.98%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -7.40%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 17:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 17:42 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 17:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.15%EV -12.94%E -7.52%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -14.97%E -8.91%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| GTbets | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.58%EV -5.86%E -3.15%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.84%EV -6.22%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.58%EV -5.75%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.34%E -2.29%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.34%E -2.29%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| BetAnything | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -4.34%E -2.29%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 17:15 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 17:49 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.88%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 17:35 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 17:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 17:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.69%EV -8.28%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -1.50%E -0.360%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.15%E -0.769%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 17:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 17:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.60%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.96%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 17:20 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -9.06%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 17:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.92%E -6.20%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.32%EV -13.45%E -7.86%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.59%EV -11.63%E -3.39%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -22.05%E -6.68%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.69%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.42%E -3.05%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.09%EV -10.92%E -6.20%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -14.98%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.31%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -16.27%E -5.01%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.24%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.17% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |