The School of Odds

Sarpsborg FK v Viking FK

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 17:15 UTC

Final: Sarpsborg FK 1–0 Viking FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prediction 19.62%5.10fair odd
EV -0.529%
Edge -0.104%
Kelly -0.130%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.66%19.76%19.55%21.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.664.705.0725%21%21%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Viking FK (Visit)

Prediction 59.82%1.67fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.99%59.63%59.83%60.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.491.561.561.6067%64%64%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 20.56%4.86fair odd
EV -0.917%
Edge -0.190%
Kelly -0.240%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.72%20.61%20.62%22.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.334.8225%23%23%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV -0.529%E -0.104%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.46%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.82%EV -6.26%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:09
Pinnacle5.03I 19.88%NM 19.20%EV -1.31%E -0.261%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.75%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.04%EV -0.917%E -0.190%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-12 17:05
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.90%E -0.380%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:10
FanDuel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.90%E -0.380%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 16:59
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.44%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:05
LowVig.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:04
BetOnline.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:04
BetAnything4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:04
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 16:59
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.52%EV -4.85%E -0.999%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.91%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:03
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.52%EV -4.85%E -0.999%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.91%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:04
GTbets4.83I 20.70%NM 19.44%EV -5.24%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.42%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.14%EV -8.73%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:59
Marathon Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.83%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:05
SportsBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.11%EV -5.83%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.56%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -11.61%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 16:59
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 16:43
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 15:25
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 17:10
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 17:04
betano_uk4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 17:03
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 16:59
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Bovada4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 17:09
Betclic (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 19.36%EV -8.77%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.41%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.23%EV -8.52%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 16:48
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 16:45
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 15:15
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 15:15
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 15:24
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -9.55%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 17:04
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 15:14
Everygame4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.55%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 16:54
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 15:14
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 15:14
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.53%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -10.58%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 17:04
LeoVegas4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -10.73%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 17:04
Unibet (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -10.73%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.88%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -10.58%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 16:49
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -11.71%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.36%E -0.496%K -0.628%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 16:44
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.71%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -9.55%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 16:44
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.71%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -17.77%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-12 17:04
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -13.67%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 16:44
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -13.67%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 15:25
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -13.67%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.12%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -17.77%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-12 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 17:09
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 17:10
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 17:09
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.60%E -4.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -11.61%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-12 16:44
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -21.52%E -5.38%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-12 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-12 17:10
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-12 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-07-12 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-07-12 17:09
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.89%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%1.8%2026-07-12 17:10