The School of Odds

Sarpsborg FK v Viking FK

2026-07-12 17:15 — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

Option 1: Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Odds
3.4528.99%Min
3.9725.17%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.4022.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
20.87%4.793Min
24.58%4.068Max
22.60%4.425Mean
22.52%4.441Median
22.52%4.441IQM
22.62%4.421Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 22.52%

EV -0.924%Edge -0.210%Kelly -0.272%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Viking FK (Visit)

Odds
1.6261.73%Min
1.7158.58%Mean
1.7058.82%Median
1.7856.18%Max
Consensus probabilities
51.52%1.941Min
54.98%1.819Max
54.14%1.847Mean
54.41%1.838Median
54.33%1.840IQM
54.23%1.844Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.78 under the IQM model: 54.33%

EV -3.29%Edge -1.85%Kelly -4.21%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.5528.17%Min
3.9325.43%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.2523.53%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.64%4.417Min
24.16%4.139Max
23.26%4.299Mean
23.07%4.335Median
23.15%4.320IQM
23.15%4.319Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.25 under the IQM model: 23.15%

EV -1.61%Edge -0.380%Kelly -0.497%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSarpsborg FK (Local) ▼Viking FK (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73% NM 20.87%EV -0.924% E -0.210% K -0.272% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 54.97%EV -9.26% E -5.55% K -13.83% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.16%EV -12.03% E -3.17% K -4.30% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 07:45
Coolbet4.30I 23.26% NM 22.38%EV -3.18% E -0.738% K -0.962% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.98%EV -4.92% E -2.81% K -6.56% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 22.64%EV -1.61% E -0.380% K -0.497% G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 12:29
1xBet4.29I 23.31% NM 22.28%EV -3.40% E -0.793% K -1.03% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 54.00%EV -3.83% E -2.16% K -4.97% G +0.000%4.03I 24.81% NM 23.72%EV -6.71% E -1.66% K -2.21% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:39
Pinnacle4.25I 23.53% NM 22.39%EV -4.30% E -1.01% K -1.32% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.68%EV -5.46% E -3.14% K -7.38% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 22.93%EV -3.93% E -0.947% K -1.25% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 07:50
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81% NM 22.25%EV -5.43% E -1.29% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.03%EV -6.00% E -3.47% K -8.22% G +0.000%3.94I 25.38% NM 23.72%EV -8.79% E -2.23% K -2.99% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 12:35
FanDuel4.10I 24.39% NM 22.74%EV -7.68% E -1.87% K -2.48% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 54.52%EV -7.09% E -4.15% K -9.99% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.74%EV -5.09% E -1.24% K -1.64% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 08:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.10I 24.39% NM 22.67%EV -7.68% E -1.87% K -2.48% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 54.67%EV -7.63% E -4.49% K -10.91% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.67%EV -5.09% E -1.24% K -1.64% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 08:40
Fanatics4.10I 24.39% NM 22.61%EV -7.68% E -1.87% K -2.48% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 54.21%EV -7.09% E -4.15% K -9.99% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.18%EV -7.40% E -1.85% K -2.47% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 08:55
Bovada4.10I 24.39% NM 22.41%EV -7.68% E -1.87% K -2.48% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 54.04%EV -7.63% E -4.49% K -10.91% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.56%EV -9.72% E -2.49% K -3.35% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 07:42
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00% NM 22.97%EV -9.93% E -2.48% K -3.31% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 54.05%EV -7.63% E -4.49% K -10.91% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.97%EV -7.40% E -1.85% K -2.47% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 08:40
SportsBet4.00I 25.00% NM 22.90%EV -9.93% E -2.48% K -3.31% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 54.20%EV -8.18% E -4.84% K -11.85% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.90%EV -7.40% E -1.85% K -2.47% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 08:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00% NM 22.75%EV -9.93% E -2.48% K -3.31% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 54.50%EV -9.26% E -5.55% K -13.83% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.75%EV -7.40% E -1.85% K -2.47% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 08:37
NordicBet3.95I 25.32% NM 23.98%EV -11.06% E -2.80% K -3.75% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 53.20%EV -3.29% E -1.85% K -4.21% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 22.82%EV -3.93% E -0.947% K -1.25% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:00
Betsson3.95I 25.32% NM 23.98%EV -11.06% E -2.80% K -3.75% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 53.20%EV -3.29% E -1.85% K -4.21% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 22.82%EV -3.93% E -0.947% K -1.25% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 12:00
William Hill3.90I 25.64% NM 23.50%EV -12.18% E -3.12% K -4.20% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 52.38%EV -4.92% E -2.81% K -6.56% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.12%EV -12.03% E -3.17% K -4.30% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 07:40
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97% NM 23.59%EV -13.31% E -3.46% K -4.67% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 52.50%EV -6.00% E -3.47% K -8.22% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.90%EV -12.03% E -3.17% K -4.30% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-03 07:35
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32% NM 23.75%EV -14.43% E -3.80% K -5.16% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 53.10%EV -7.63% E -4.49% K -10.91% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.15%EV -9.72% E -2.49% K -3.35% G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 07:39
Betclic (FR)3.73I 26.81% NM 23.47%EV -16.01% E -4.29% K -5.86% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 52.74%EV -9.81% E -5.91% K -14.86% G +0.000%3.68I 27.17% NM 23.79%EV -14.81% E -4.02% K -5.53% G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-04 17:20
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78% NM 24.22%EV -18.94% E -5.26% K -7.28% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 52.53%EV -9.81% E -5.91% K -14.86% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.25%EV -13.19% E -3.52% K -4.80% G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-03 07:34
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78% NM 23.68%EV -18.94% E -5.26% K -7.28% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 52.63%EV -11.98% E -7.40% K -19.32% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.68%EV -16.66% E -4.63% K -6.41% G +0.000%17.3%2026-07-05 08:40
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57% NM 24.58%EV -21.19% E -6.05% K -8.48% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 51.52%EV -9.26% E -5.55% K -13.83% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.90%EV -16.66% E -4.63% K -6.41% G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-03 14:25
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99% NM 24.38%EV -22.32% E -6.47% K -9.11% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 51.92%EV -11.98% E -7.40% K -19.32% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 23.69%EV -17.82% E -5.02% K -6.99% G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-03 07:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerSarpsborg FK (Local)Viking FK (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%1.66I 60.24%3.55I 28.17%16.2%2026-07-03 07:35