La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sarpsborg FK v Viking FK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarpsborg FK (Local)
Predicción 19.62%5.10momio equitativo
EV -0.529%
Ventaja -0.104%
Kelly -0.130%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.66%19.76%19.55%21.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.664.705.0725.00%21.48%21.28%19.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Viking FK (Visitante)
Predicción 59.82%1.67momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -2.68%
Kelly -7.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.99%59.63%59.83%60.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.561.561.6067.11%64.27%64.10%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.56%4.86momio equitativo
EV -0.917%
Ventaja -0.190%
Kelly -0.240%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.72%20.61%20.62%22.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.384.334.8225.00%22.84%23.09%20.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV -0.529%E -0.104%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.46%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.82%EV -6.26%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| Pinnacle | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.20%EV -1.31%E -0.261%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.75%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.04%EV -0.917%E -0.190%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-12 17:05 |
| BetUS | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.90%E -0.380%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |
| FanDuel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.90%E -0.380%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 16:59 |
| DraftKings | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.44%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| BetAnything | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.52%EV -4.85%E -0.999%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.91%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 17:03 |
| Betsson | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.52%EV -4.85%E -0.999%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.91%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| GTbets | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.44%EV -5.24%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.42%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.14%EV -8.73%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.83%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 17:05 |
| SportsBet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.11%EV -5.83%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.56%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -11.61%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-12 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 16:43 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 15:25 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| betano_uk | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 17:03 |
| Paddy Power | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| BetRivers | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| betPARX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Bovada | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.36%EV -8.77%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.41%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.23%EV -8.52%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 16:48 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-12 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| betfred_uk | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 15:24 |
| William Hill | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -9.55%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Everygame | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.55%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-12 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| PlayUp | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.53%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -10.58%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| LeoVegas | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -10.73%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -10.73%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.88%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -10.58%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 16:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -11.71%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.36%E -0.496%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 16:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.71%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -9.55%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-12 16:44 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.71%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -17.77%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -13.67%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-12 16:44 |
| Bet Right | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -13.67%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-12 15:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -13.67%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.12%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -17.77%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| Neds | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.60%E -4.19%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -11.61%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-12 16:44 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -21.52%E -5.38%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-12 15:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |
| Matchbook | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.07% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.07% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| Smarkets | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.89% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.64% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |