La scuola delle quote

Sarpsborg FK v Viking FK

Inizio: 2026-07-12 17:15 UTC

Finale: Sarpsborg FK 1–0 Viking FK

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sarpsborg FK (Casa)

Previsione 19.62%5.10quota equa
EV -0.529%
Vantaggio -0.104%
Kelly -0.130%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.66%19.76%19.55%21.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.664.705.0725.00%21.48%21.28%19.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Viking FK (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.82%1.67quota equa
EV -4.28%
Vantaggio -2.68%
Kelly -7.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.99%59.63%59.83%60.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.491.561.561.6067.11%64.27%64.10%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.56%4.86quota equa
EV -0.917%
Vantaggio -0.190%
Kelly -0.240%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.72%20.61%20.62%22.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.384.334.8225.00%22.84%23.09%20.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV -0.529%E -0.104%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.46%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.82%EV -6.26%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:09
Pinnacle5.03I 19.88%NM 19.20%EV -1.31%E -0.261%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.75%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.04%EV -0.917%E -0.190%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-12 17:05
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.90%E -0.380%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:10
FanDuel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.90%E -0.380%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 16:59
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.44%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:05
LowVig.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:04
BetOnline.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:04
BetAnything4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:04
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 16:59
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.52%EV -4.85%E -0.999%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.91%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:03
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.52%EV -4.85%E -0.999%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.91%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:04
GTbets4.83I 20.70%NM 19.44%EV -5.24%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.42%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.14%EV -8.73%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:59
Marathon Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.83%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:05
SportsBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.11%EV -5.83%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.56%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -11.61%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 16:59
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 16:43
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 15:25
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 17:10
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 17:04
betano_uk4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 17:03
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 16:59
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Bovada4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 17:09
Betclic (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 19.36%EV -8.77%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.41%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.23%EV -8.52%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 16:48
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 16:45
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 15:15
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 15:15
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 15:24
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -9.55%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 17:04
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 15:14
Everygame4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.55%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 16:54
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 15:14
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 15:14
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.53%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -10.58%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 17:04
LeoVegas4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -10.73%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 17:04
Unibet (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -10.73%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.88%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -10.58%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 16:49
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -11.71%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.36%E -0.496%K -0.628%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 16:44
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.71%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -9.55%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 16:44
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.71%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -17.77%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-12 17:04
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -13.67%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 16:44
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -13.67%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 15:25
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -13.67%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.12%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -17.77%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-12 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 17:09
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 17:10
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 17:09
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.60%E -4.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -11.61%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-12 16:44
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -21.52%E -5.38%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-12 15:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-12 17:10
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-12 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-07-12 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-07-12 17:09
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.89%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%1.8%2026-07-12 17:10