Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sarpsborg FK v Viking FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 17:15 UTC

Score final : Sarpsborg FK 1–0 Viking FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prévision 19.62%5.10cote équitable
EV -0.529%
Avantage -0.104%
Kelly -0.130%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.66%19.76%19.55%21.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.664.705.0725.00%21.48%21.28%19.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Viking FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.82%1.67cote équitable
EV -4.28%
Avantage -2.68%
Kelly -7.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.99%59.63%59.83%60.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.561.561.6067.11%64.27%64.10%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.56%4.86cote équitable
EV -0.917%
Avantage -0.190%
Kelly -0.240%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.72%20.61%20.62%22.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.384.334.8225.00%22.84%23.09%20.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sarpsborg FK (Local) : 19.62% ; Viking FK (Visiteur) : 59.82% ; Match nul : 20.56%. Pour Sarpsborg FK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.10. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 5.07, pour une espérance de -0.529% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV -0.529%E -0.104%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.46%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.82%EV -6.26%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:09
Pinnacle🎯5.03I 19.88%NM 19.20%EV -1.31%E -0.261%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.75%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.04%EV -0.917%E -0.190%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-12 17:05
BetUS🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.90%E -0.380%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:10
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -1.90%E -0.380%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 16:59
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.44%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:04
BetAnything🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.38%E -0.720%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:04
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -3.86%E -0.789%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 16:59
NordicBet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.52%EV -4.85%E -0.999%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.91%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:03
Betsson🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.52%EV -4.85%E -0.999%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.91%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:04
GTbets🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.44%EV -5.24%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.42%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.14%EV -8.73%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.83%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:05
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.11%EV -5.83%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.56%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -11.61%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 16:59
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 16:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 15:25
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 17:10
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 17:04
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 17:03
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 15:14
Bovada🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -7.79%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.36%EV -8.77%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.41%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.23%EV -8.52%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 16:48
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 16:45
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 15:15
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -12.63%E -2.97%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 15:15
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 15:24
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -9.55%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 17:04
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 15:14
Everygame🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.55%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 15:14
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 15:14
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -9.75%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.53%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -10.58%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 17:04
LeoVegas🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -10.73%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -10.73%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.88%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -10.58%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-12 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -11.71%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -4.28%E -2.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.36%E -0.496%K -0.628%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 16:44
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.71%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -9.55%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 16:44
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.71%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -17.77%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-12 17:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -13.67%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.44%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 16:44
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -13.67%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -13.67%E -3.11%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.12%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -17.77%E -4.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-12 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 17:09
Neds🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 17:10
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -15.05%E -3.48%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.66%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 17:09
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.60%E -4.19%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -11.61%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-12 16:44
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -21.52%E -5.38%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -10.99%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-12 15:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-12 17:10
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-12 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-07-12 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-07-12 17:09
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.89%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%1.8%2026-07-12 17:10