Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.59
assuming max odds 6.07
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sarpsborg FK (Local): 60.72%; KFUM (Visit): 17.32%; Draw: 21.96%. For KFUM (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.77. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.11%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.07I 16.47%NM 15.88%EV +5.11%E +0.842%K +1.01%G +0.052% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%EV -3.36%E -0.764%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.09%EV -3.46%E -2.17%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%EV +3.03%E +0.510%K +0.613%G +0.019% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-18 11:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV +3.03%E +0.510%K +0.613%G +0.019% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.34%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV +0.437%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -8.31%E -5.51%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -1.29%E -0.227%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -10.74%E -7.31%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -1.29%E -0.227%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.03%E -0.540%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.03%E -0.540%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.03%E -0.540%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 15:02 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.79%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.07%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.08%EV -4.24%E -0.766%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.38%EV -7.32%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.76%E -0.865%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -4.76%E -0.865%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.90%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.79%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.07%EV -5.62%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 14:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -6.49%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 15:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -6.49%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -6.49%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.90%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.66%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 11:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 14:28 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.18%EV -9.53%E -6.39%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.45%EV -6.66%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.44%E -4.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 13:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.33%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 13:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -8.31%E -5.51%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.00%EV -11.96%E -8.25%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.31%EV -8.85%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-18 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -15.15%E -3.09%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -3.36%E -0.764%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 12:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.61%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -13.25%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%EV -9.53%E -6.39%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-18 12:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.49%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.49%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-18 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.65%EV -8.31%E -5.51%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |