L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Sarpsborg FK v KFUM

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 17:00 UTC

Score final : Sarpsborg FK 1–3 KFUM

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prévision 60.72%1.65cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -5.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.49%60.69%60.68%62.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.19%65.36%62.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

KFUM (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.32%5.77cote équitable
EV +5.11%
Avantage +0.842%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 6.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.88%17.29%17.36%18.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.225.106.0721.05%19.17%19.61%16.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.96%4.55cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -0.764%
Kelly -0.989%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.70%22.02%21.96%23.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.144.104.4025.97%24.17%24.39%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sarpsborg FK (Local) : 60.72% ; KFUM (Visiteur) : 17.32% ; Match nul : 21.96%. Pour KFUM (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.77. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.07, soit une espérance positive de +5.11%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.07I 16.47%NM 15.88%EV +5.11%E +0.842%K +1.01%G +0.052%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%EV -3.36%E -0.764%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.09%EV -3.46%E -2.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%EV +3.03%E +0.510%K +0.613%G +0.019%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-18 11:05
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV +3.03%E +0.510%K +0.613%G +0.019%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.34%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV +0.437%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -8.31%E -5.51%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -1.29%E -0.227%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -10.74%E -7.31%K -22.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -1.29%E -0.227%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.03%E -0.540%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.03%E -0.540%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:05
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.03%E -0.540%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:02
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.79%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.07%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 14:45
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.08%EV -4.24%E -0.766%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.38%EV -7.32%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.76%E -0.865%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 12:20
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -4.76%E -0.865%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.90%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.79%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.07%EV -5.62%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:39
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -6.49%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:27
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -6.49%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:29
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -6.49%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.90%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.66%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 11:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 11:24
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:29
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:28
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.18%EV -9.53%E -6.39%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.45%EV -6.66%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 12:25
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.44%E -4.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:34
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.33%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:30
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -8.31%E -5.51%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 12:30
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:34
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.00%EV -11.96%E -8.25%K -26.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.31%EV -8.85%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -15.15%E -3.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -3.36%E -0.764%K -0.989%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.61%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -13.25%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%EV -9.53%E -6.39%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 12:25
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 14:35
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.49%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.49%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-18 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.65%EV -8.31%E -5.51%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-09-18 15:20