Szkoła Kursówodds.school
Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Sarpsborg FK v KFUM

Początek: 2026-09-18 17:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Sarpsborg FK 1–3 KFUM

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Sarpsborg FK (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.72%1.65kurs godziwy
EV -3.46%
Przewaga -2.17%
Kelly -5.86%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.59

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.49%60.69%60.68%62.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.19%65.36%62.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

KFUM (Goście)

Prognoza 17.32%5.77kurs godziwy
EV +5.11%
Przewaga +0.842%
Kelly +1.01%
Wzrost +0.052%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.07

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.88%17.29%17.36%18.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.755.225.106.0721.05%19.17%19.61%16.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 21.96%4.55kurs godziwy
EV -3.36%
Przewaga -0.764%
Kelly -0.989%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.70%22.02%21.96%23.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.854.144.104.4025.97%24.17%24.39%22.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Sarpsborg FK (Gospodarze): 60.72%; KFUM (Goście): 17.32%; Remis: 21.96%. Dla wyniku KFUM (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.77. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.07, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +5.11%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.07I 16.47%NM 15.88%EV +5.11%E +0.842%K +1.01%G +0.052%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%EV -3.36%E -0.764%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.09%EV -3.46%E -2.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%EV +3.03%E +0.510%K +0.613%G +0.019%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-18 11:05
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV +3.03%E +0.510%K +0.613%G +0.019%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.34%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV +0.437%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.56%EV -8.31%E -5.51%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -1.29%E -0.227%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -10.74%E -7.31%K -22.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -1.29%E -0.227%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.03%E -0.540%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.03%E -0.540%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:05
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -3.03%E -0.540%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:02
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.79%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.07%EV -3.20%E -0.572%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 14:45
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.08%EV -4.24%E -0.766%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.38%EV -7.32%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.76%E -0.865%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 12:20
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -4.76%E -0.865%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.90%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.79%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.07%EV -5.62%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:39
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -6.49%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:27
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -6.49%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:29
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -6.49%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -4.46%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.90%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.66%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 11:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 11:24
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:29
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:28
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.18%EV -9.53%E -6.39%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.45%EV -6.66%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 12:25
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -15.44%E -4.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:34
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -11.68%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.33%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:30
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -8.31%E -5.51%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 12:30
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:34
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.00%EV -11.96%E -8.25%K -26.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.31%EV -8.85%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -15.15%E -3.09%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -3.36%E -0.764%K -0.989%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.61%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -13.25%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%EV -9.53%E -6.39%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 12:25
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 14:35
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.49%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.49%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.15%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-18 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.65%EV -8.31%E -5.51%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 13:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-09-18 15:20