Language:English
Molde v Rosenborg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Molde (Local)
Prediction 51.04%1.96fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.771%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.05%51.00%51.16%52.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.821.821.9360.24%54.93%54.95%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rosenborg (Visit)
Prediction 23.96%4.17fair odd
EV +0.613%
Edge +0.146%
Kelly +0.192%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.04%23.95%23.98%25.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.803.804.2029.41%26.33%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.00%4.00fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.508%
Kelly -0.682%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.14%25.05%24.87%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.653.653.9232.26%27.42%27.40%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Molde (Local): 51.04%; Rosenborg (Visit): 23.96%; Draw: 25.00%. For Rosenborg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.613%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.96%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%EV +0.613%E +0.146%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 16:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.17%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.20%EV -0.345%E -0.083%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%EV -1.99%E -0.508%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.09%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.35%EV -2.74%E -0.675%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.56%EV -3.49%E -0.905%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -9.65%E -5.45%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -5.62%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.99%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -1.49%E -0.771%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.38%EV -5.49%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 16:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.83%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 15:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 12:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 10:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -9.65%E -5.45%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-09 13:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -7.61%E -4.21%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-09 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-09 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%EV -12.72%E -7.44%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 16:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -7.61%E -4.21%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 15:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.68%E -6.10%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -11.70%E -6.76%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -22.49%E -7.26%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-14 16:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -10.17%E -5.78%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -16.16%E -4.62%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 50.59%EV -15.27%E -9.20%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.34%EV -17.35%E -5.03%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.07%EV -16.24%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.81%EV -13.23%E -7.78%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.91%EV -18.55%E -5.46%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.28%EV -16.24%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.85% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |