L’École des cotes

Molde v Rosenborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Molde (Local)

Prévision 51.04%1.96cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.771%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.05%51.00%51.16%52.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.821.821.9360.24%54.93%54.95%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rosenborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.96%4.17cote équitable
EV +0.613%
Avantage +0.146%
Kelly +0.192%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.04%23.95%23.98%25.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.803.804.2029.41%26.33%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.00%4.00cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.508%
Kelly -0.682%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.14%25.05%24.87%27.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.653.653.9232.26%27.42%27.40%25.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.96%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%EV +0.613%E +0.146%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-14 16:39
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.17%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.20%EV -0.345%E -0.083%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%EV -1.99%E -0.508%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 16:45
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 16:45
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.09%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.35%EV -2.74%E -0.675%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.56%EV -3.49%E -0.905%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 16:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 16:50
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:35
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -9.65%E -5.45%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:40
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -5.62%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.99%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:35
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:35
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 16:34
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 16:35
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:54
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:55
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 16:45
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -1.49%E -0.771%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.38%EV -5.49%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 16:39
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.83%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 16:35
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 15:40
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 15:44
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 15:25
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 15:39
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:35
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:35
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:40
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 15:40
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 10:04
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 15:35
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 16:35
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -9.65%E -5.45%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 16:35
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 13:10
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -7.61%E -4.21%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:40
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-09 15:24
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-09 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%EV -12.72%E -7.44%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 16:39
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -7.61%E -4.21%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 15:35
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:35
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.68%E -6.10%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -11.70%E -6.76%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -22.49%E -7.26%K -10.71%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-14 16:43
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -10.17%E -5.78%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -16.16%E -4.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-14 16:40
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.59%EV -15.27%E -9.20%K -23.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.34%EV -17.35%E -5.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.07%EV -16.24%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.81%EV -13.23%E -7.78%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.91%EV -18.55%E -5.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.28%EV -16.24%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-03-14 16:55
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-03-14 16:55