La scuola delle quote

Molde v Rosenborg

Inizio: 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Molde (Casa)

Previsione 51.04%1.96quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.771%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.05%51.00%51.16%52.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.821.821.9360.24%54.93%54.95%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rosenborg (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.96%4.17quota equa
EV +0.613%
Vantaggio +0.146%
Kelly +0.192%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.04%23.95%23.98%25.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.803.804.2029.41%26.33%26.32%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.00%4.00quota equa
EV -1.99%
Vantaggio -0.508%
Kelly -0.682%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.14%25.05%24.87%27.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.653.653.9232.26%27.42%27.40%25.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.96%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%EV +0.613%E +0.146%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-14 16:39
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.17%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.20%EV -0.345%E -0.083%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%EV -1.99%E -0.508%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 16:45
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 16:45
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.09%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.35%EV -2.74%E -0.675%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.56%EV -3.49%E -0.905%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 16:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 16:50
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:35
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -9.65%E -5.45%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:40
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -5.62%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.99%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:35
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:35
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 16:34
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 16:35
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:54
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:55
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 16:45
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -1.49%E -0.771%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.38%EV -5.49%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 16:39
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.83%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 16:35
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 15:40
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 15:44
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 15:25
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 15:39
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:35
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:35
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:40
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 15:40
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 10:04
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 15:35
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 16:35
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -9.65%E -5.45%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 16:35
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 13:10
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -7.61%E -4.21%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:40
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-09 15:24
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-09 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%EV -12.72%E -7.44%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 16:39
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -7.61%E -4.21%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 15:35
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:35
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.68%E -6.10%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -11.70%E -6.76%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -22.49%E -7.26%K -10.71%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-14 16:43
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -10.17%E -5.78%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -16.16%E -4.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-14 16:40
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.59%EV -15.27%E -9.20%K -23.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.34%EV -17.35%E -5.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.07%EV -16.24%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.81%EV -13.23%E -7.78%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.91%EV -18.55%E -5.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.28%EV -16.24%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-03-14 16:55
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-03-14 16:55