La escuela de los momios

Molde v Rosenborg

Inicio: 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Molde (Local)

Predicción 51.04%1.96momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.771%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.05%51.00%51.16%52.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.821.821.9360.24%54.93%54.95%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rosenborg (Visitante)

Predicción 23.96%4.17momio equitativo
EV +0.613%
Ventaja +0.146%
Kelly +0.192%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.04%23.95%23.98%25.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.803.804.2029.41%26.33%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.00%4.00momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.508%
Kelly -0.682%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.14%25.05%24.87%27.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.653.653.9232.26%27.42%27.40%25.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.96%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%EV +0.613%E +0.146%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-14 16:39
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.17%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.20%EV -0.345%E -0.083%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%EV -1.99%E -0.508%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 16:45
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.78%E -0.435%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 16:45
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.09%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.35%EV -2.74%E -0.675%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.56%EV -3.49%E -0.905%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 16:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 16:50
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:35
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -9.65%E -5.45%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -4.18%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:40
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -5.62%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.99%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:35
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.10%E -3.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:35
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 16:34
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 16:35
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:54
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:55
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.57%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 16:45
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -1.49%E -0.771%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.38%EV -5.49%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 16:39
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.83%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -7.77%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 16:35
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 15:40
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 15:44
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 15:25
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 15:39
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:35
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.49%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:35
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.97%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:40
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 15:40
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 10:04
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 15:35
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 16:35
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -9.65%E -5.45%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 16:35
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 13:10
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -7.61%E -4.21%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.36%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:40
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-09 15:24
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-09 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%EV -12.72%E -7.44%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -12.56%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 16:39
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -7.61%E -4.21%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 15:35
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:35
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.68%E -6.10%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -11.70%E -6.76%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -13.76%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -22.49%E -7.26%K -10.71%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-14 16:43
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -10.17%E -5.78%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -16.16%E -4.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-14 16:40
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.59%EV -15.27%E -9.20%K -23.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.34%EV -17.35%E -5.03%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.07%EV -16.24%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.81%EV -13.23%E -7.78%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.91%EV -18.55%E -5.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.28%EV -16.24%E -4.85%K -6.91%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-14 16:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-03-14 16:55
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-03-14 16:55