Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.42
assuming max odds 7.20
assuming max odds 5.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Molde (Local): 67.38%; Kristiansund BK (Visit): 13.98%; Draw: 18.65%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.36. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.40%EV -4.32%E -3.05%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.78%EV -1.47%E -0.208%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.82%EV +1.62%E +0.298%K +0.365%G +0.006% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%EV -5.00%E -3.54%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.53%EV -0.069%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.88%EV +0.876%E +0.162%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.60%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -6.36%E -0.949%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -5.84%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -6.36%E -0.949%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:56 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 13:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 13.80%EV -6.08%E -0.905%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 18.97%EV -8.82%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +0.630%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -9.57%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +0.630%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -9.57%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.91%EV -4.32%E -3.05%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.38%EV -0.768%E -0.108%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV -10.13%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.38%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -23.13%E -4.21%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.19%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.30%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -12.41%E -9.55%K -41.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 13:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.78%EV -9.71%E -7.25%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.53%EV -11.74%E -8.96%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.95%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-16 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.08%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.11%EV -17.54%E -2.97%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.57%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -25.42%E -6.35%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.10% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 14:00 |