La scuola delle quote

Molde v Kristiansund BK

Inizio: 2026-05-16 14:04 UTC

Finale: Molde 1–0 Kristiansund BK

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Molde (Casa)

Previsione 67.38%1.48quota equa
EV -4.32%
Vantaggio -3.05%
Kelly -10.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.06%67.23%67.44%69.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.371.371.4276.92%73.12%72.99%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kristiansund BK (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.98%7.15quota equa
EV +0.630%
Vantaggio +0.087%
Kelly +0.102%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.04%14.11%13.91%16.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.616.707.2018.18%15.13%14.93%13.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.65%5.36quota equa
EV +1.62%
Vantaggio +0.298%
Kelly +0.365%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.69%18.66%18.65%21.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.854.905.4525.00%20.63%20.41%18.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.40%EV -4.32%E -3.05%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.78%EV -1.47%E -0.208%K -0.242%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.82%EV +1.62%E +0.298%K +0.365%G +0.006%3.0%2026-05-16 13:59
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%EV -5.00%E -3.54%K -12.19%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.53%EV -0.069%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.88%EV +0.876%E +0.162%K +0.199%G +0.002%3.4%2026-05-16 13:59
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 14:00
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.96%E -0.730%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 13:59
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -3.04%E -0.585%K -0.724%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 13:59
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.60%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -6.36%E -0.949%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -5.84%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:00
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 13:59
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -6.36%E -0.949%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 14:00
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:56
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 14:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 14:00
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:58
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 14:00
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.02%E -5.09%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 13.80%EV -6.08%E -0.905%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 18.97%EV -8.82%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 13:59
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +0.630%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -9.57%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -5.67%E -4.05%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +0.630%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -9.57%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 14:00
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.91%EV -4.32%E -3.05%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.38%EV -0.768%E -0.108%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV -10.13%E -2.10%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.51%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:00
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.38%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -13.35%E -2.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 13:59
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -5.66%E -0.838%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 14:00
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 13:59
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -23.13%E -4.21%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-16 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.19%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.30%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 14:00
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -12.41%E -9.55%K -41.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 14:00
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.17%E -0.309%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 13:58
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 14:00
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 66.78%EV -9.71%E -7.25%K -28.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 13:59
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:59
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -8.37%E -6.15%K -23.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -12.65%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 66.53%EV -11.74%E -8.96%K -37.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.95%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-16 13:59
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.08%EV -7.69%E -5.62%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.11%EV -17.54%E -2.97%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.57%EV -9.04%E -6.70%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -16.14%E -2.69%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -10.39%E -7.81%K -31.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -9.15%E -1.41%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -25.42%E -6.35%K -8.47%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-16 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%0.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%0.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%0.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%0.9%2026-05-16 14:00
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.10%2.3%2026-05-16 14:00